gdp growth

Healthy Surprises in the Fourth-Quarter GDP Report

Consumers reopened their wallets and manufacturers slashed inventories, indicating they're getting ready to ramp up production of more goods this year. Also contributing to growth were rising exports and falling imports. But just how good will 2011 prove to be?

Sentiment Index Gets a Small Boost From Improving Economy

The latest consumer sentiment index reading continues to show an American public that expects better days ahead, and fourth quarter GDP growth indicates a strengthening economy. But countervailing pressures remain: Initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose, and gas prices are high.

A More Bullish Forecast From Deutsche Bank

The bank now say positive trends developing in consumer spending, employment and the stock market will likely boost U.S. economic growth higher than the 3% most analysts had previously predicted. Deutsche's chief equity strategist is predicting a 23% rise in the stock market for 2011.

Looking Beyond the Political China-Bashing

The grandstanding is understandable enough for politicians facing an electorate battered by the Great Recession. But China's growth is fueling the strong results that companies continue to deliver. And China's global trade surplus has actually been shrinking.

How to Succeed in Boosting Exports: 10 Easy Lessons

President Obama has set a goal for the nation -- doubling U.S. exports in the next five years -- and helping smaller businesses is a big part of his plan. But for advice from the trenches, we've interviewed five executives at global export leaders and gleaned 10 tips you can apply to your own company.

Best and Worst Global Stock Markets of 2010

The big national stock market winners of 2010 scored returns far above those of U.S. markets by piggybacking on China's ferocious growth. But rebounding American equities look mighty impressive next to the year's real losers: the victims of the eurozone debt crisis.

Forget the BRICs -- 2011 Could Be 'the Year of the USA'

Goldman's Jim O'Neill shot to fame by predicting the staggering rise of emerging-market economies like the BRIC nations, Brazil, Russia, India and China. But 2011, he says, "will be the beginning of a new phase in which the U.S. has strong GDP growth."

Rising Oil Prices Won't Derail the Economic Recovery

Yes, oil prices are climbing again and will likely do so for a while. But never fear: The price forecasts remain too low to make a big impact on the U.S. economy, which is far more energy-efficient these days. Here are three other reasons.

Leading Indicators Rise, Pointing to Stronger Growth

The index of leading economic indicators rose an impressive 1.1% in November -- its biggest gain in eight months. It provides further evidence that the U.S. expansion is gaining momentum and will likely grow at a faster pace into 2011.

Markets Are On the Rise Since the Fed Launched QE2

Republican leaders may be worried about the Federal Reserve's second round of quantitative easing, but the stock and credit markets are not: They have improved significantly since the QE2 plan was announced, Bloomberg reported Friday. But can that rally be solely attributed to QE2?

Citing 'Insufficient' Growth, Fed Keeps Policy Steady

The Federal Reserve Tuesday kept its current accommodative monetary policy going steadily and continued its program of quantitative easing, saying that the economic recovery is continuing, but the growth rate "has been insufficient to bring down unemployment."

Rising Inventories Reflect Rising Economic Confidence

The 0.7% increase in business inventories in October was less than expected, but it still represents the ninth straight monthly rise. The best news: Sales are rising at a slightly faster pace than inventories, so more growth via restocking is likely.

What Will Obama's Tax
Deal Do for Investors?

The biggest question many investors have about President Obama's compromise tax cut deal is how it will benefit the economy. But so far, there is little agreement on Wall Street about what the stimulative effects of the deal will be.mong the watchers on Wall Street about what the stimulative effects of the deal will be.

America's Malady: A Bad Case of 'Baumol's Disease'

Unlike an illness caused by microscopic invaders of your body, which might raise your temperature and cause you physical aches and pains, Baumol's Cost Disease raises wages and causes some painful shifts in a nation's labor balance. Unfortunately, it's natural, and there's no miracle cure.

Pimco: The Tax Deal Will Boost Economic Growth

If the tax deal reached between congressional Republicans and President Obama is ratified, it most certainly will add to the budget deficit, but according to Pimco, which manages the world's largest bond fund, the stimulative measure will contribute much to economic growth.

Consumer Debt Jumps, But Credit Card Use Falls

U.S. consumers appear to be getting bit less frugal: The amount of consumer credit in use unexpectedly rose in October for the second straight month. But the whole rise came from non-revolving debt, which includes auto loans and personal loans, while revolving debt, which includes credit cards, plunged.

A Dose of Bah, Humbug for Holiday Sales Growth

Major retailers are reporting healthy gains in November revenues, adding more evidence that holiday sales will be significantly higher than last year. But reading that as a sign of a wider economic recovery may be giving too much credit to what turns out to be a tiny sliver of U.S. GDP.

Oil Prices Rise 3% on Improved U.S. Economic Outlook

Oil prices rose Wednesday as reports of higher U.S. productivity and more domestic hiring combined with continuing growth in demand from China to offset the effects of lackluster economic data from other countries.

U.S. Manufacturing Grew a Bit Slower in November

A key U.S. manufacturing index unexpectedly dipped slightly in November, but it remained at a level that indicates that the industrial expansion continues. Led by export demand, the factory sector expanded for the 16th consecutive month.

Consumer Confidence Hits Five-Month High

The Conference Board index of consumer sentiment unexpectedly jumped 4.2 points to 54.1 in November -- its highest level since June -- as Americans became slightly more optimistic about both the U.S. economy and the job market.

Consumer Sentiment Rises to Highest Level Since June

The consumer sentiment index rose a better than expected 3.9 points in November to 71.6 -- its highest level since June, as Americans sensed modest improvement in the job market. Its still below historic norms, though, and sustained job growth will be needed to send America's mood higher.

Durable Goods Orders Tumble Amid Caution

The nation%u2019s industrial expansion took a step back in October, as durable goods orders unexpectedly plunged 3.3%, and the more-telling ex-transportation component also sank 2.7%.

Why the Fed's Stimulus Only Boosts Emerging Markets

When QE2 is complete, the Fed's bond purchases will have injected $1.7 trillion in liquidity into the markets since 2008 in an effort to boost corporate investment in new production and new jobs in the U.S. Instead, companies are taking cash raised here and investing it in emerging markets.

ING Forecasts Market Growth of 8% to 12% in 2011

ING Investment Management forecasts that stock markets will rise between 8% and 12% in 2011, thanks to a low-inflation, low-interest environment supported by the Fed, despite weak GDP growth. And for those looking for to increase their investment yields, they have a few suggestions.

Inventories Rise 0.9%, Suggesting Stronger Growth Ahead

In a sign that holiday sales season will be better than initially expected, business inventories rose 0.9% in September as companies re-stocked their shelves for the nation's busiest shopping period. The increase also suggests that third-quarter U.S. GDP growth figures may be revised upward.

Eurozone Growth Slows as Austerity Takes Its Toll

Economic growth in the eurozone slowed sharply in the third quarter as austerity measures aimed at cutting budget deficits dented the Continent's recovery. Meanwhile, a growing divergence in the economic performance of EU nations is likely to make it tough for the European Central Bank to set its monetary policy.

It's Time for a New Reserve Currency: Meet the Mondo

For a host of reasons, other countries would love to free their economies from the stranglehold of the U.S. dollar's influence, especially now, when the Fed's stimulus actions are pushing the dollar lower, and everything else higher. Global finance expert Peter Cohan has a simple answer: The Mondo.

Why Asian Nations Hate QE2, and What They Should Do

As the G-20 meets in South Korea, many world leaders have stepped up their complaints about the Fed's $600 billion quantitative easing program, as well as the rapid flow of capital into emerging markets. Some countries are installing capital controls in response, but those won't be enough, says global finance expert Peter Cohan.

U.S. Growth to Lag Behind Developing World in 2011

The world economy is poised for more of the same in 2011 -- booming growth in China, India and Brazil, and a sluggish crawl in the U.S. and much of the rest of the developed world. Here are the five most important factors driving expectations for sluggish economic growth in the U.S.: