Inflation has inched higher in the past six months, but that's not a danger sign, but rather a harbinger of improving economic conditions and a strengthening recovery. And that, in turn, should lead to higher wages and more hiring in the year ahead.
Government measures show that inflation, at 1.6% in January, is still below the Fed's target of 2%. But commodity prices are soaring, and anyone who pays their household bills knows that food and energy prices are rising because of it. Is the Consumer Price Index getting it wrong?
The Consumer Price Index fell 0.1% in June, but the core rate rose a higher-than-expected 0.2%, which suggests that the slowing U.S. economic recovery has lowered inflation. But it hasn't triggered deflation -- at least not yet.