bull market outlook

A Stock Market Breakout Is Likely -- but in Which Direction?

The technical signals suggest we're at a crucial decision point for the stock market: Either a decisive rise or a dramatic fall is coming. And if you're the type to dismiss technical analysis as unscientific voodoo, you're missing the point: It's not about pattern matching, it's about human psychology.

What Investors Should Expect After Davos 2011

When columnist and venture capitalist Peter Cohan read the dispatches from last week's World Economic Forum in Davos, two things caught his eye: First, the elite are exuberant, and second, they're annoyed by the idea that they should create societal value. Here's what both those ideas mean for investors.

A More Bullish Forecast From Deutsche Bank

The bank now say positive trends developing in consumer spending, employment and the stock market will likely boost U.S. economic growth higher than the 3% most analysts had previously predicted. Deutsche's chief equity strategist is predicting a 23% rise in the stock market for 2011.

Lower Volatility Might Not Signal a Market Correction

The CBOE's Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, has been trending lower, which many analysts consider a sign that that stocks are due for a fall. But another argument says it's all relative, and in today's environment it may suggest a continuing rally.

Rising Bullishness: A Sign to Sell or Justified Optimism?

A supposed truism on Wall Street is that betting against the crowd is always a wise move. And these days, the crowd is decidedly bullish. Yes, that's often a sign that the end is near. But right now, a good argument can be made that things will still get better.

What the Stocks vs. Dollar Seesaw Is Saying Now

For a host of reasons, when the dollar spikes, stocks drop, and when the dollar falls, stocks soar. Right now, with dollar sentiment reaching maximum bearishness, contrarians are preparing for the next seesaw shift. If the dollar rises again, stocks could reverse.

What's Reviving Investors' Hunger for Stocks

Far-sighted investors are starting to see that the broader economic picture: a robust global rebound in manufacturing and impressive corporate earnings. These strong fundamentals are finally overcoming risk aversion -- and could set the stage for an equity rally.

Plenty of Optimism Could Signal a Bear Market Ahead

Investor sentiment is a remarkably accurate contrarian indicator: When investors become exuberantly bullish, the market is nearing a high, and when investors are excessively bearish, market lows are a good bet. Be warned: Right now, the charts show the sort of optimism that precedes a fall.

Three Contrarian Stock Picks for 2011

If you're tired of watching your stocks go up and down this year without making any firm gains, consider putting some money into a contrarian investment strategy. It's riskier, but the payoff can be big. Contrarian fund manager Don Hodges offers three unconventionally good stock picks.