bubble

Is Gold a Bubble About to Pop? These Charts Say No

Some say the precious metal will keep rising, others that it's tracing out a classic speculative bubble soon to burst. Nobody has a crystal ball, but an "agnostic" technical analysis of the charts provides some good clues about gold's future.

A Rising Dollar and Cooling China Will Pop the Commodities Bubble

The dollar is looking mighty attractive, thanks to a reviving U.S. economy and eurozone woes, and it will only get stronger as traders who gambled that it would fall buy dollars to unwind their bad bets. Add in China's desperate need to get its overheated economy in check, and commodities prices look like they have nowhere to go but down.

How the Web Will Make Winners and Losers in 2011

A year ago, hardly anyone was expecting Angry Birds or Groupon to be among the stars of 2010, but the underlying trends that powered their success were plain enough. So while it's nearly impossible to accurately predict what the next big hits will be, here are five trends that may help separate 2011's winners from its losers.

2010's Person and Story of the Year, Plus a Bubble-Bursting Prediction for 2011

It's the season for reviewing the year that's ending and making predictions for the one ahead. On Tuesday, venture capitalist and DailyFinance columnist Peter Cohan was part of a TV panel that was asked: Who was the person of the year? What was the story of the year? And what will happen in 2011? Here are his answers.

America's Low Interest Rates Have a High Hidden Price

Interest rates are the price of money, and though that price is near zero right now, the cost of low interest rates to our nation may be too high. Low rates are squeezing savers, seniors, banks and pension funds, and the benefits we're supposed to see from them don't appear to have arrived.

Why Basel III's New Bank Capital Rules May Be Irrelevant

International bankers are hammering out the Basel III agreement, which will require banks to keep more capital in reserve relative to what they invest. It's a good idea, and one that would cushion the financial system from the next bust -- if the rules weren't being pushed so far into the future.

China's Currency Move Means Hard Decisions Ahead

If you think China's decision to unpeg its currency from the U.S. dollar was a good move for both countries, Gary Shilling says don't believe it. The economist who saw the subprime crisis coming warms that the move isn't what it appears to be, and says it will have a number of unintended consequences.

Four Trends That Will Dramatically Change China

The financial media's coverage of China tends to focus on trade-related topics, but China is undergoing deep cultural shifts that will dramatically alter its economic landscape. These four long-term trends could drastically change China -- and its relationship with the world.

Legal Briefing: Schwab Settles Suit for 25¢ on the Dollar

While Goldman Sachs allegedly defrauded Wall Street's elite, it was Main Street investors who were duped by Charles Schwab. Schwab put more than $700 million of its clients' money in what it said was a "conservative" fund, but was really a high-risk bet on mortgage-backed securities.

After Record Flows, Are Bond Funds a $360 Billion Bubble?

Investors piled into bonds last year, as U.S. open-end bond funds took in $357 billion in cash. That's not only far more than any other asset class in 2009, but more than bond funds took in over the previous five years combined. Is the fixed income market the next big bubble?

Alice in Debtorland: Lessons from the Red Queen

It's a shame director Tim Burton has chosen to leave the Red Queen's Race out of his upcoming Disney version of "Alice in Wonderland": That little vignette offers some valuable insights about how the global economy ran full speed into its current unhealthy state.