Predictions

Pundit Predictions: How Accurate Are the 'Pros' Bold Guesses?

Every day, dozens of analysts, pundits and talking heads take to the media to make startling predictions -- the bolder the better. But which of them has a winning record, and who is full of hot air? A new website called "PunditTracker" is answering that question.

Nate Silver Almost Certainly Has Millions at Stake in Tonight's Election

The other day, Nate Silver proposed a $2,000 bet (for charity) with Joe Scarbrough on the outcome of the election. But let's be honest, the New York Times polling guru has WAY more at stake than that. We're talking millions of dollars on his being right that Obama will stomp Romney in the Electoral College.

Gold Tops the List of the Fourth Quarter's Likely Winners

Most commodities rallied in the third quarter, but can they hold on to their advance? Read on, and find out which ones still have legs to dance their way higher, and which are poised to take a tumble. The short answer to that from analysts is that gold and oil are likely to advance, while grains and sugar are among those that probably won't, but there will be a lot of different factors to consider.

What We Know About iPhone 5

Apple reported disappointing third-quarter earnings Tuesday, but investor attention is shifting to the company's most important product, the iPhone 5. Here are some of the new features we expect for the latest version of the iconic smartphone:

The Hair Index: What Your Cut Says About the Economy

The oracles who read economic tea leaves have a host of conventional forecasting tools, but housing starts and job growth figures can only tell you so much. To cut through the haze of data, sometimes it takes an unconventional indicator -- for example, the Hair Index.

Pantone Palette Predictions: Colors That Will Sell in 2013

If you plan to redecorate your home next year, expect the stores to be filled with shades such as antique-white, coral and sea green -- just a few of the hot colors we'll be seeing on home products in 2013, according to the color authorities at Pantone.

The Only Key Swing Voter in This Election? Mr. Dow Jones

Wading through all of the myriad political issues and hot buttons of an election year can be difficult for both candidates and voters. But what if there's only one thing that determines the outcome of a presidential race? Turns out, it may really be that simple.

3 Holiday Predictions You Can Invest On

It's going to be another interesting holiday shopping season as retailers jockey for position for the seasonal spending sprees. Where will buyers go? What will they buy? Let me go out on a limb and predict a few things.

As Economic Woes Linger, Fortunetellers' Fortunes Rise

In this challenging economy, when U.S. unemployment is far too high and our national and personal bank balances are much too low, one profession that continues to thrive -- and perhaps even benefit from all the uncertainty -- is psychics.

Libya Isn't the Only Force Working Against Stocks

With Mideast turmoil chasing oil higher and stocks lower, it's a good time to check the charts and see what price levels seem to be key "lines in the sand." Some indicators have been warning for months that the steep rally was preparing to reverse.

Can Motley Fool's Stock Picker Tap Wisdom of Crowds?

Popular investing site The Motley Fool has patented a system it believes can predict stock performance. Called Motley Fool CAPS, it taps the collective brainpower of more than 170,000 investors. Based on its performance over the past five years, it appears to work. But can it really?

In Construction, a Year of Flat Growth Would Be Welcome

If you want to see how the construction industry will do in 2011, look at how the architects did in 2010. By that gauge, last year's thin uptick in spending on building design and engineering services foretells a similar small gain ahead for builders -- and after two years of steep declines, any growth at all is welcome news.

A More Bullish Forecast From Deutsche Bank

The bank now say positive trends developing in consumer spending, employment and the stock market will likely boost U.S. economic growth higher than the 3% most analysts had previously predicted. Deutsche's chief equity strategist is predicting a 23% rise in the stock market for 2011.

What Google's Reshuffle Means for Investors

As Larry Page takes the reins from CEO Eric Schmidt, the questions for investors are: Will Facebook keep gaining on Google? Or will Page steer it back to its original counter-corporate spirit, to embracing risk over short-term profits? Or have the risk-takers gone soft?

No Longer the 'Big Three,' but They've Stopped Shrinking

With U.S. automotive dominance waning, a new moniker has emerged: the "Detroit Three." But don't count out Ford, GM or Chrysler -- their post-recession future looks strong, thanks to some agonizing restructuring. Now, they can be profitable selling fewer cars.

Lower Volatility Might Not Signal a Market Correction

The CBOE's Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, has been trending lower, which many analysts consider a sign that that stocks are due for a fall. But another argument says it's all relative, and in today's environment it may suggest a continuing rally.

India's Internet Comes of Age with First $1 Billion Dot-Com

When tech writer Alex Salkever issued his five tech predictions for 2010 last year, he boldly proclaimed that India's nascent tech sector would see its first blockbuster startup emerge. That blockbuster turns out to be MakeMyTrip.com, and it's likely to be followed by many more in 2011.

How Long Is America's Road Back to Full Employment?

There's no way to sugarcoat it: The U.S. job deficit is huge, and it will take years before we return to anyone's idea of full employment. But investors shouldn't become pessimistic: Our flexible economy%u2019s has the capacity to adapt and renew itself faster than many experts expect.

Dividend Payments Jumped by $26.5 Billion in 2010

U.S. companies added $26.5 billion to dividend payments in 2010 -- a far cry from 2009's $42.4 billion decline -- and analysts predict an even better year for dividends in 2011, a windfall to investors that could lift equity markets higher.

How the Web Will Make Winners and Losers in 2011

A year ago, hardly anyone was expecting Angry Birds or Groupon to be among the stars of 2010, but the underlying trends that powered their success were plain enough. So while it's nearly impossible to accurately predict what the next big hits will be, here are five trends that may help separate 2011's winners from its losers.

2010's Person and Story of the Year, Plus a Bubble-Bursting Prediction for 2011

It's the season for reviewing the year that's ending and making predictions for the one ahead. On Tuesday, venture capitalist and DailyFinance columnist Peter Cohan was part of a TV panel that was asked: Who was the person of the year? What was the story of the year? And what will happen in 2011? Here are his answers.

These Signs Point to Job Growth in 2011

Many Wall Street pundits are surprisingly bullish about the U.S. economy for 2011, but high unemployment continues to ravage Main Street. Still, with corporate profits booming and the stock market rallying, signs are piling up that employment may finally be poised for a comeback too.

Obama's Tax Deal Will Save At Least One Job: His

The $858 billion compromise tax bill passed the House Thursday at midnight, and is on its way to President Obama's desk. With its passage, and the GDP growth it will propel, his reelection is more in the bag than ever. What effect it will have on jobs for the rest of America, though, is far less clear.

Six Reasons Why Goldman Is Wrong on a Banking Recovery

On Thursday night, venture capitalist and DailyFinance columnist Peter Cohan went on CNBC's "The Kudlow Report" to debate whether the banking industry is at the start of a period of recovery, as Goldman Sachs claimed this week. Here's why he argued that Goldman was dead wrong.

Is the VIX Signaling the End of the Bull Market?

Is the market pullback that began on April 26 and accelerated wildly with Thursday's 1,000-point free-fall and recovery just part of a normal bull market correction, or is it confirmation that a bear market has begun? The VIX may have the answer.