Predictions and Trends

The 40 Most Unusual Economic Indicators

Every day, data-gathering agencies publish reports about where the economy stands and where it's headed: GDP, manufacturing, unemployment and the like. But for a less conventional approach to economic forecasting, consider these

Nate Silver Almost Certainly Has Millions at Stake in Tonight's Election

The other day, Nate Silver proposed a $2,000 bet (for charity) with Joe Scarbrough on the outcome of the election. But let's be honest, the New York Times polling guru has WAY more at stake than that. We're talking millions of dollars on his being right that Obama will stomp Romney in the Electoral College.

Can Tweets and Status Updates Really Predict Stock Moves?

Investors looking to predict how the stock market will move have produced countless beat-the-market strategies over the centuries. The latest is a theory that suggests tweets and status updates can be used to foresee a company's fluctuations on Wall Street. Crazy ... but could it work?

India's Internet Comes of Age with First $1 Billion Dot-Com

When tech writer Alex Salkever issued his five tech predictions for 2010 last year, he boldly proclaimed that India's nascent tech sector would see its first blockbuster startup emerge. That blockbuster turns out to be MakeMyTrip.com, and it's likely to be followed by many more in 2011.

Dividend Payments Jumped by $26.5 Billion in 2010

U.S. companies added $26.5 billion to dividend payments in 2010 -- a far cry from 2009's $42.4 billion decline -- and analysts predict an even better year for dividends in 2011, a windfall to investors that could lift equity markets higher.

2010's Person and Story of the Year, Plus a Bubble-Bursting Prediction for 2011

It's the season for reviewing the year that's ending and making predictions for the one ahead. On Tuesday, venture capitalist and DailyFinance columnist Peter Cohan was part of a TV panel that was asked: Who was the person of the year? What was the story of the year? And what will happen in 2011? Here are his answers.

These Signs Point to Job Growth in 2011

Many Wall Street pundits are surprisingly bullish about the U.S. economy for 2011, but high unemployment continues to ravage Main Street. Still, with corporate profits booming and the stock market rallying, signs are piling up that employment may finally be poised for a comeback too.