By Richard Hubbard
LONDON, Jan 10 - World shares, commodities and growth-linked currencies rose on Thursday as stronger-than-expected Chinese...
The U.S. current account trade deficit narrowed in the April-June period, pushed lower by an increase in American exports and cheaper oil imports. The Commerce Department said Tuesday that the deficit in the current account decreased 12.1 percent to $117.4 billion in the second quarter.
To quell its rapidly climbing prices, China has raised interest rates for the third time since October. But the signs are growing that it may not be able to keep the problem under control. And despite the economic threat from inflation, China isn't likely to let its currency rise.
The grandstanding is understandable enough for politicians facing an electorate battered by the Great Recession. But China's growth is fueling the strong results that companies continue to deliver. And China's global trade surplus has actually been shrinking.
China's decision to raise rates to contain food and housing price increases is a missed opportunity to move the country toward a more domestic-oriented economy. A higher yuan would slow exports, but it would be a bigger overall benefit to China's economy.
The seemingly symbiotic relationship between the China and America -- dubbed Chimerica -- is now clearly chimerical. What was once billed as the ideal partnership is quickly turning into a competition for global influence instead. Investors, beware.
Investors take note: Despite the calls for order, national policymakers are dealing with an increasingly haphazard scenario loaded with counterproductive results and unintended consequences. The result could be a slide toward protectionism.
According to one China expert, overtaking Japan as the world's second-largest economy doesn't change the underlying economic issues China must resolve, but it does cement changes that have been rapidly making China a far more important player on the global stage
China's global trade surplus ballooned to $28.7 billion in July, a sign that promises to adjust its currency haven't yet begun to bite. That could spell increasing friction with Washington, where lawmakers facing reelection in November are raising demands for retaliation.
It's practically an article of faith in some economic circles that the households of fast-growing behemoths India and China will increasingly begin supporting not only their own economies, but those of the rest of the world as well. Don't count on it: Here's why.
If you want to know what Beijing really believes about China's red-hot economy, its real estate market or the state of the global recovery, forget the numbers that the government can manipulate. Look at whether it allows China's currency to rise against the dollar.