two chickens against sunset
By Tom Polansek

The world's largest chicken breeder has discovered that a key breed of rooster has a genetic issue that is reducing its fertility, adding to problems constraining U.S. poultry production and raising prices at a time when beef and pork prices are already at record highs.

The breed, Aviagen Group's standard Ross male, is sire through its offspring to as much as 25 percent of the nation's chickens raised for slaughter, said Aviagen spokeswoman Marla Robinson.

Sanderson Farms, the third-largest U.S. poultry producer and one of Aviagen's largest customers, said it and Aviagen systematically ruled out other possible causes for a decline in fertility before determining a genetic issue was at the root of the problem.

The issue is hitting an industry that is already suffering from a short supply of breeder birds.

The U.S. Agriculture Department last month reduced its U.S. chicken production forecast for 2014, predicting only a 1 percent increase in poundage from 2013, well below the long-run annual average of 4 percent. The agency predicted 2015 production would be up only 2.6 percent.

The limited growth in output is occurring as foreign demand for U.S. chicken is on the rise. U.S. exports of poultry for meat are projected to reach 3.4 million tons in 2014, up from 3.1 million last year.

Sensitive Bird

Aviagen, owned privately by EW Group of Germany, provides breeding stock -- hens and roosters -- to Sanderson and other chicken producers, which then breed the birds and hatch their eggs to produce meat.

Sanderson last summer first identified an unusual reduction in chick output involving the Ross breed. Mike Cockrell, Sanderson's chief financial officer, said about 17 percent of eggs laid by Aviagen hens mated with the rooster breed failed to hatch. Typically, the failure rate is about 15 percent, he said.

Sanderson gradually eliminated a number of other potential factors, including the temperature in hatcheries and the source of corn fed to the birds, Cockrell said.

Aviagen sent a team of scientists to Sanderson last autumn to study the issue and has acknowledged that an undisclosed change it made to the breed's genetics made the birds "very sensitive" to being overfed, he said.

The fertilization went way down, and our hatch has been way down.

"We fed him too much. He got fat. When he got big, he did not breed as much as he was intended to," Cockrell said about the breed of rooster. "The fertilization went way down, and our hatch has been way down."

Aviagen regularly tweaks genetics in birds to improve them, Cockrell added.

Aviagen declined comment on changes to the rooster's genetics.

The chicken breeding company has replaced the breed suffering from fertility issues with a new breed, and is mating it with the same type of hens. It is too early to provide accurate projections for their productivity, but "results to date are favorable," Robinson said.

Sanderson expects to fully shift to the replacement breed by autumn, Cockrell said.

Rebuilding Effort

The fertility problem is occurring at a time when the industry is dealing with a shortage of breeder birds, which are in demand as the sudden hike in beef and pork prices this year has renewed demand for chicken.

The shortfall came about after breeders reduced their flocks when a spike in feed prices in 2011 squeezed their profit margins, according to Sanderson and poultry experts. While grain prices have now fallen and demand for chicken is on the rise, U.S. poultry breeders are still rebuilding their flocks.

Aviagen's Robinson declined to comment on the reasons breeder birds are in tight supply. The nation's other major breeding company, Cobb Vantress, owned by Tyson Foods (TSN), declined to comment for this article.

A lack of accommodation for newly born breeder birds after the 2011 cutback is slowing the rebuilding process, said Paul Aho, a consultant to Aviagen and a poultry economist.

Constrained production has helped push chicken prices in Georgia, a key market, to record highs, analysts said. Boneless skinless breasts there recently were priced at $2.21 a pound, up 4.5 percent from a year earlier. The production shortfall is adding 50 cents a pound to the cost of chicken breasts, which sell for about $2.02 a pound in the northeastern United States, Aho said.

Scrambling for Eggs

The high prices would normally spur chicken companies to increase production more than 5 percent from the prior year, had more breeder birds been available, said Bill Roenigk, a former senior vice president for the National Chicken Council.

In some cases, companies are trying to hatch eggs that would have been discarded in the past for being the wrong size or damaged, he said.

"Right now they're scrambling to really put any egg in the incubator that can be in the incubator, and they're paying a price in terms of not as good hatchability," he said.

Chicken producers also are keeping their hens laying eggs longer than usual to compensate for the lack of new birds -- as many as five weeks beyond their typical cut-off age of 65 weeks. Eggs from older hens tend to hatch at a lower rate.

JPMorgan (JPM) in March said the number of eggs per laying hen fell below the 10-year average for the first time since 2010.

"They don't have enough of these breeder birds and they also don't have the quality that they would have had 10 years ago," said Will Sawyer, vice president of food and agribusiness research for Rabobank.

There is no sign that the tight supply of breeder birds and drop in hatchability threatens human health.

Soaring Profits

High chicken prices due to the production constraints have helped push up the stock prices of Tyson and Sanderson this year, by about 17 percent and 38 percent, respectively. Both Tyson and Sanderson reported net income more than doubled in their fiscal second quarters.

The price increase is especially painful for consumers as prices for steaks and pork chops are up 10 percent this year due to drought and disease affecting herds.

"There's nothing cheap to buy," said Ron Prestage, president-elect of the National Pork Producers Council.

Shawna McLean, who lives with her husband and dog in Playa Del Rey, California, said she now chooses meats based on what's on sale. "I'm looking at the same chicken and the price has gone up about $3 in the last month," said the 48-year old, who is looking for a job.

-Additional reporting by Lisa Baertlein in Los Angeles.

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July 10 2014 at 7:14 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

blame The Fed for printing and diluting our dollar.

July 10 2014 at 8:16 AM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply

try putting viragra in the chicken feed

July 09 2014 at 10:49 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply

Good old genetic "tweaking"................but GMO is still OK for vegetables and fruit...............WILL WE EVER LEARN???

July 09 2014 at 8:32 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

When you screw with Mother Nature, the results are not always what you expected! These dumb **** humans!

July 09 2014 at 8:11 PM Report abuse +2 rate up rate down Reply

Anyone know of a chicken who died of old age?

July 09 2014 at 6:47 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply

What a joke! Want to blame something blame the dysfunctional agricultural policies of the US and how food is distributed.

July 09 2014 at 6:45 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
worried man

A few good comments ..Just keep buying all Chinese products. The ship turned around but ran into a reef and is taking on water. The life boats are filled with fat cats and fat roosters while the rest of us listen to the band and read the HP

July 09 2014 at 5:57 PM Report abuse +2 rate up rate down Reply

Every year for the last few years most grocers have had whole turkeys on sale in November for 59 to 79 cents a pound. Buy a large upright freezer and fill it with 59 cents a pound frozen turkeys.
A frozen turkey will keep upto 6 months if you set your freezer at the coldest setting.

You can defrost and butcher a turkey into drumsticks (amazing if simmered and served with gravy), and breast meat: take a raw turkey breast and cut it across the grain into steaks.
Bread the steaks with self rising flour and black pepper and fry in butter : it's amazing trust me.

July 09 2014 at 5:27 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to alfredschrader's comment

What a great idea. Buy a new freezer for $1,000 just so you can save a few bucks on frozen turkeys.

Beam him up, Scotty ---- LOL

July 09 2014 at 6:07 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply

Where on earth do they get the $2.21 and $2.02 prices per pound they quote for boneless skinless breasts? Even the woman quoted at the end of the article says they have gone UP by $3 in the last few months?

In both Colorado AND Florida, I've recently paid an average of EIGHT and 99 cents per pound!!! I want to know who's paying $2.21 a pound?

July 09 2014 at 4:15 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to mountainlora's comment
worried man

$1.79 per pound in Chicago. I will send you 100 lbs at $4.50 a pound

July 09 2014 at 5:58 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to worried man's comment
worried man

Of course this is all gamma ray treated chicken

July 09 2014 at 5:58 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down