1 Auto Company Tesla Motors Should Be Afraid Of

BMW i3 and connectivity app. Consumers will be able to monitor battery levels while their vehicle is charging. Image courtesy of BMW. 

Tesla Motors has taken the auto world by storm by developing electric cars from the ground up, and in the process creating a new category of automobile that didn't exist just a few years ago. The success of the Model S, and anticipation for the Model X, have wowed the market and rewarded investors with a 486% gain in the last year alone.


Automakers like Nissan, General Motors , and Ford have halfheartedly followed suit, creating short-range electric vehicles that are often augmented by a gasoline-hybrid power train as well. But Tesla has mastered the EV market so far.

Model S batteries are incorporated into the chassis, lowering the center of gravity of the vehicle.

Why Detroit can't compete with Tesla
While GM and Ford have demonstrated an interest to play in the EV market, they're not the players to contend with Tesla in the high-five-figure auto market. The problem is that neither of these automakers provides a performance product to match a Tesla vehicle, nor do they offer much appeal for the affluent buyers who can afford electric vehicles, which is where the market is right now.

Not only is a Tesla Model S an EV that can appeal to the most environmentally conscious consumer, it's a performance machine that stacks up against some of the best sports cars in the world -- that's the key to its success.

From a design standpoint, the big reason automakers aren't making headway against Tesla is that they aren't yet building EV chassis and drive trains from the ground up the way Tesla has done. Tesla built its batteries into the car's floor to lower the center of gravity to increase performance and save space in the cabin. Instead, competitors are jamming battery packs into the existing vehicle design. 

But one company is taking a ground-up approach to EVs and it could be a big competitor to Tesla.

The one company Tesla should worry about
One company that is starting its EV design from scratch and has the ability to meet or exceed the performance of Tesla's Model S is BMW . The BMW i3 has batteries integrated into the floor of the vehicle, opening up the cabin for passengers. It also incorporates carbon fiber that lowers the curb weight to just over 2,600 pounds. That's a ton less than the 4,600-pound Model S (although the i3 is a smaller vehicle).  

Where BMW will be able to compete long term is in performance. Below are highlighted the performance specifications of the Model S and three BMW models: the M5 (BMW's closest conventional competitor to the Model S), i3, and i8.

 

0-60 mph

Top Speed

Range

Base Cost

Tesla Model S

5.4 seconds

125 mph

265 miles

$81,070 

Tesla Model S Performance

4.2 seconds

130 mph

265 miles

$94,570

BMW M5

3.6 seconds

190 mph

422 miles 

$92,900

BMW i3

7.2 seconds 

93 mph

100 miles

$41,350

BMW i8

4.4 seconds

155 mph 

22 miles electric

310 miles total

$135,700 

Source: Tesla and BMW data sheets

You can see that the i8 stacks up well with the Model S in performance, although it isn't an all-electric vehicle. The i3 isn't quick, but it extends range further than either Ford, GM, or Nissan have done in an all-electric model. It's also priced at an attractive level for many buyers.

At the very least, BMW has created a small line of vehicles that are a viable alternative to Tesla's.  Orders seem to reflect this fact: There were 10,000 orders for the i3 in place by late 2013 and BMW expects to sell out of the model this year. The i8 will be a much smaller production run, but it's also showing well with customers.  

BMW i8, the high-performance EV hybrid. Image courtesy of BMW.

BMW is now Tesla's long-term rival
BMW probably isn't going to take a significant number of customers from Tesla this year or next, but what's important is that it's building a platform that will compete in the future. Look at this as the same stage of development that Tesla was at when it launched the Roadster. It's the next-generation i3 and i8 that will be the real competition because engineers will have the ability to add range and improve performance.

The reason this is important to Tesla is that BMW has the scale and balance sheet to build true competition much faster than Tesla is expanding. If the i-series sells well, and BMW makes a big bet on the future of EVs, then Tesla will have a formidable competitor on its hands -- one that could very well exceed Tesla when it comes to vehicle performance.

There's even an outside chance that BMW could produce more electrified vehicles in 2015 than Tesla, based on current projections. That has to be causing a little worry at Tesla's headquarters in Silicon Valley.

The next frontier for automakers
Tesla and BMW are both eyeing growth in Asia and it's a huge opportunity for products like electric vehicles. As Chinese consumers grow richer, savvy investors can take advantage of this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity with the help from this brand-new Motley Fool report that identifies two automakers to buy for a surging Chinese market. It's completely free -- just click here to gain access.

The article 1 Auto Company Tesla Motors Should Be Afraid Of originally appeared on Fool.com.

Travis Hoium manages an account that owns shares of Ford. The Motley Fool recommends BMW, Ford, General Motors, and Tesla Motors. The Motley Fool owns shares of Ford and Tesla Motors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2014 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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stephen.pace

@Travis Hoium: Key phrase: "BMW probably isn't going to take a significant number of customers from Tesla this year or next." The fact is, Tesla will sell more Model S in 2014 than BMW sells i3 and i8 combined, despite the average selling price of the i3 being half that of the Tesla. The i3 and Model S market is completely different. The Model S buyer is probably looking at a BMW M5 or Audi A7 class vehicle. By contrast, the i3 may take some sales away from Leaf of Volt, although I personally feel the Volt looks better than the i3. On the high end, the i8 looks great, but is slower than a Model S, costs more, has higher long term maintenance costs, seats only 4 compared with up to 7 for the Model S, and (most importantly) does nothing to get us free from our addiction to oil. The fact is, they will sell some i8s to the BMW faithful and a few folks looking at a Maserati class car, but compared with the Tesla, the i8 seems too expensive for what you get. At 22 electric miles compared with 265 miles in the Tesla (enabled by a nationwide SuperCharger network), the i8 just isn't a great electric car and will have compete with the larger $100k+ sports car market as a gasoline vehicle. We'll see how they do, but I don't think BMW will come close to touching the 35k Model S 2014 target with either of these cars.

February 25 2014 at 1:54 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
mystuff2003

You state that "One company that is starting its EV design from scratch and has the ability to meet or exceed the performance of Tesla's Model S is BMW"
I say Really? BMW has only 1 EV in production (barely) and it's "performance and range are similar to the Nissan Leaf. You are comparing Apples and Oranges

February 25 2014 at 1:36 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply