Can You Trust Netflix's Cash Flow Statements?
Aug 20th 2013 9:30PM
Updated Aug 20th 2013 9:32PM
I just came across an interesting article about Netflix . And I think it needs debunking.
The author, Shmulik Karpf at Seeking Alpha, looks at how Netflix accounts for its rental inventory and comes away with this chilling conclusion:
I believe that Netflix's accounting practice greatly hurts the quality of its reported cash earnings. Personally, I don't like to hold shares in a company that's suspected of using dubious accounting tricks. Sooner rather than later, accounting games tend to catch up with the company that employs them. Unfortunately, it's the unsuspecting shareholders that get hit first.
Yikes! OK, so what did Netflix do to deserve this verdict, just shy of accusing the company of accounting fraud?
Karpf worries that Netflix is playing games with its cash flow statements. Specifically, Netflix accounts for its DVD library purchases under cash flows from investing activities rather than operating activities. This choice, the author says, masks these expenses from most investors, because the investing section is often ignored. DVD purchases are an important part of Netflix's daily operations, and therefore, the expense belongs under operating activities.
I'm no certified public accountant, but there are at least three things wrong with Karpf's conclusion.
This is business as usual
First and foremost, there's nothing wrong with rental companies placing their rental inventory acquisitions in the investing section of cash flows.
The article holds up two companies as paragons of virtue, placing their rental inventories in the operating section. One company was found to follow the Netflix policy, which means that some other companies also use this "accounting trick."
Well, it's actually a fairly well established practice in the rental industry at large. It's true that Rent-A-Center accounts for its rental merchandise under operating activities, just like Karpf's ideal examples. And it does make intuitive sense to balance these expenses against their depreciation, which definitely goes in the operating section. So Karpf isn't exactly wrong -- you can build your cash flow statements this way, and some companies do.
But it's also incredibly easy to find followers of the Netflix model, when you're digging in the rental services industry.
Take construction equipment manager United Rentals , for example. In 2012, the company accounted for $1.3 billion of freshly purchased forklifts and construction lasers in the "investing activities" section of its cash flow statement.
This was balanced by $900 million in depreciation and amortization expenses, presented under "operating activities." $200 million of this was for "non-rental" equipment, and this fact was disclosed on the income statement. The company also provided a handy free cash flow reconciliation table that brings all of the disparate pieces together into one easily understandable non-GAAP figure. Much like the non-GAAP earnings calculations you see all over the stock market.
Rental car giant Hertz works the same way. You'll find its "revenue-earning equipment expenditures" under "investing activities" and a rundown of free cash flow components right in the earnings release. No need to wait for 10Q or 10K filings here, but you do have to search for "levered after-tax cash flow" figures in a multifunction table of complex numbers. Hertz burned a cool $1 billion of free cash last year, including all the puts and takes around buying new cars and selling old ones.
And if you were looking for something more comparable to Netflix's video rental business, the old Blockbuster followed the same exact model. DVD and VHS purchases (and used media sales) went into the "investing activities" bucket, followed by a table that puts it all together into a free cash flow figure.
In 2003, the company reported negative earnings thanks to a massive goodwill adjustment, but collected $400 million of free cash. Those were the good old days.
Netflix simply follows a firmly established industry practice, including a reconciliation of free cash components in one simple table. In the recently reported second quarter, Netflix collected $12.9 million of free cash, and that figure includes $14 million in DVD purchases.
This model is a problem only if you insist on calculating your own free cash flow totals, and you forget about the investing activities. That seems like a rare combination of doing your homework and forgetting the details. Wouldn't "most investors and analysts," as Karpf puts it, fall back on the provided free cash flow calculations rather than making this very particular mistake?
No big deal
Karpf makes it sound like DVD purchases make up the lion's share of Netflix's expenses. That used to be true, but it's simply not anymore.
Netflix was all about DVD rentals up until 2007. Disc purchases peaked that year, just as streaming content deals were about to ramp up. Now, DVD purchases account for a measly 1.9% of the company's total content costs.
I think it's fair to say that DVD costs don't really matter to Netflix investors anymore. The company is amortizing its DVD library faster than it's refilled with fresh content, and that trend is not likely to reverse anytime soon -- or ever, for that matter. Hard-copy content is going out of style like bell-bottom jeans and pet rocks. Digital content is the new normal.
Netflix heard you already, Mr. Karpf
If this industry standard practice bothers Karpf, he'll be happy to see that Netflix is abandoning it.
You've already seen how streaming content costs outweigh DVD purchases by a massive margin. The streaming costs are presented in the operating activities section of cash flow statements, and that's not new: They've been there since 2010.
It seems like CEO Reed Hastings and his leadership team agrees with Karpf, and would rather report content costs as operating activities. But the common practice in DVD rentals was to lump it under investing activities, perhaps due to the physical nature and resale value of actual discs.
So the main content costs already go exactly where Karpf wants them, while the DVD operations get phased out over time. This "accounting trick" is as good as gone.
The Foolish bottom line
All things considered, I was never worried about the accounting practice here because everybody's doing it -- and the correct free cash flow figure was always reported in plain sight anyhow. The practice is fading away as Netflix goes all in on digital content, which carries no resale value and doesn't belong under investments.
If you dismiss Netflix due to its handling of DVD purchase accounting, you're just missing out on a fantastic investment opportunity for no good reason.
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The article Can You Trust Netflix's Cash Flow Statements? originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Anders Bylund owns shares of Netflix, but he holds no other position in any company mentioned. Check out Anders' bio and holdings or follow him on Twitter and Google+. The Motley Fool recommends Netflix. The Motley Fool owns shares of Hertz Global Holdings and Netflix. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.