3 Stocks to Put on Your Short List

Shorting stocks can often get a bad rap in the media, but the reality is that it plays a vital role in the market. Without short-selling, there would be less incentive for stocks to go down, because the only way to profit would be when shares went up. There have been bubbles in areas where short-selling was restricted.

Betting against stocks is also a great way to make money when the overall market goes down. I've highlighted three stocks that I think are overvalued and are worth shorting right now. Let's take a look.

Facebook
The Facebook craze is over. I'm sorry to tell you, but people under 30 are leaving Facebook for Twitter, Vine, and whatever else the tech world can come up with next. The problem with Facebook is that it wasn't built as a moneymaking machine; it was built as a social network. So when you try to jam ads into people's timelines or sell their content, there's a backlash.


The ad backlash is bad, but the bigger problem for Facebook is that having teens and grandparents on the same social network isn't good for growth. Facebook just isn't "cool" anymore, and that's what Facebook's investors should worry about most.

Then there's valuation to worry about. Forget the price-to-earnings ratio -- even price-to-sales is insanely inflated. 

FB Price / Book Value Chart

FB Price / Book Value data by YCharts

To grow into expectations, Facebook would have to grow in excess of 30% for at least five years, and I think by then most people will have moved on to a new network for their social needs. 

Sprint
Can Sprint Nextel really break the duopoly that Verizon Wireless and AT&T have developed? I have my doubts.

Sprint's stock is up 26% since Softbank first approached the company with an offer to buy 70% of its shares and infuse cash into the business, but that stock market success doesn't mean it will make Sprint a giant in wireless. The core problem for Sprint is that it doesn't have the sheer size to compete with Verizon Wireless or AT&T. Wireless networks require billions of dollar in investments, which customers than pay for in small monthly payments. The bigger the network, the more money invested, the bigger the draw you are to customers.

Just look at the sheer size difference between the amount of capital assets these three companies own. Sprint is dwarfed by its bigger rivals.

T Machine, Furniture & Equip. Annual Chart

T Machine, Furniture & Equip. Annual data by YCharts

This is important from a competitive perspective, because Sprint simply doesn't have the ability to build a network that can compete with Verizon Wireless or AT&T. The past year has shown exactly what an uphill battle the company faces. Sprint's subscribers were down 1.3% to 47.3 million, while Verizon Wireless was up 6.4% to 89.9 million and AT&T was up 3.2% to 107.3 million. Sprint is in a distant third place, and it simply doesn't have the scale to catch up, even with the help of Softbank. Once the support Softbank provides is gone, I think these fundamental problems will catch up with the stock. 

Molycorp
The rare earth metal scare is over. You don't hear of companies worrying about rare earth supplies, countries are no longer stockpiling, and it isn't a topic in political interviews. For Molycorp , that means falling profits despite the fact that it's finally producing a large quantity of rare earth minerals.

MCP Net Income Quarterly Chart

MCP Net Income Quarterly data by YCharts

The problem for Molycorp is that rare earth mineral prices are inelastic. If prices quadruple, demand doesn't change, and conversely, when Molycorp and Lynas brought mines online and increased the world's supply, prices dropped like a rock. Long-term, this will continue to happen, and Molycorp now has fixed costs to contend with and falling revenue to pay for those costs. The mine Molycorp runs has already gone out of business once, and there's a decent chance it will do so again given the market dynamics, so this is a great stock to be short.  

Foolish bottom line
These are three great short ideas to help balance out long positions in your portfolio. The key is to look for solid companies to own and shaky companies to short, and while I've taken the short approach here, The Motley Fool has compiled a special free report outlining our nine top dependable dividend-paying stocks to own in our free report. It's called "Secure Your Future With 9 Rock-Solid Dividend Stocks." You can access your copy today at no cost! Just click here.

The article 3 Stocks to Put on Your Short List originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Travis Hoium has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Facebook. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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nicurnc

Court jesters rather than motley fools!

July 31 2013 at 1:58 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply