Would You Be Comfortable Investing in Herman Miller?
Mar 30th 2013 10:00AM
Updated Mar 30th 2013 10:06AM
Office ergonomics are something we think little about but are greatly affected by, if subconsciously. Office furniture design house Herman Miler is one of the best in the business, combining amazing functionality with style and comfort. Items as simple as desk chairs (we know how important this can be) can sell for more than $1,000, and full office systems many times that. The company's price point and production methods have helped create better-than-expected gross margins, most recently yielding a 23% increase in adjusted earnings per share. At 15 times forward earnings, and with strong prospects ahead, this furniture design company is trading at a discount to peers and may be the best-in-class. Here's what you need to know about Herman Miller.
The most recent quarter marks a turnaround point for Herman Miller. In the four quarters preceding, the company had year-over-year declines in sales figures. For the past couple of years, the North American market has been particularly hard for the company because of soft government demand. However, the company has recently seen a 5% uptick in sales along with a 10-point pickup in orders for the region -- certainly encouraging, and going along with analyst expectations for the industry.
Outside North America, things look much better. Sales during the third quarter grew by an impressive 17%, and future orders were up 3% from the prior year. As is typical of many high-priced design businesses, high-margin items selling well in Asia were largely responsible for the growth.
The company's seating line is its classic offering -- attractive sitting solutions (yes, that's a term) that are incredibly comfortable and made for some serious, long-term sitting. The current product cycle appears to be at its end, with a major overhaul coming this spring. As the cycle renews, this should help boost sales in subsequent quarters.
As far as numbers go, the company beat the Street on the bottom line but missed on revenues. Sales came in at a 6% premium to the prior year's quarter, with $424 million. The majority of the company's sales comes from North America. In the third quarter, the region was responsible for $285 million, and non-North American sales were at $91 million. The company's Specialty and Consumer segment continues to outperform, up 13% to $47 million. The aforementioned gross margin, at 34.2% (excluding legacy pension expenses), was higher than the company expected and drove bottom-line earnings to their double-digit gains.
Herman Miller made $30 million in free cash flow for the quarter.
Looking forward, the company expects another $430 million to $450 million in sales to cap off the year, representing a 2% to 7% increase over the prior year's numbers. Gross margins are expected to remain at their elevated level, and EPS are targeted to come in at $0.34 to $0.38, adjusted.
What it all means
So Herman Miller is clearly navigating the tepid economic recovery in the United States quite well, with the exception of its government orders. Asia looks to be a double-digit growth driver going forward, and the company has a new product cycle ready to launch. How does it all compare with other players in the field?
HNI is in a similar line of business, though operating through many more subsidiaries and at different price points. HNI has a forward P/E of 19.32 and an EV/EBITDA of 12.28. Herman Miller has a forward P/E at 15.14 and an EV/EBITDA of 10.74. Once the company rids itself of the legacy pension expense charges, the market may value the company closer to its peers, as it is otherwise a healthy, growing business. The company has $198 million in cash, compared with HNI's $48 million. If you take the cash out of the scenario and just value the business, Herman Miller looks even more attractive.
Risks and the call
The company needs to win big on its new product initiatives, to justify its spending over the past year. Investors can hope that the new products will trend well in North America, where the bulk of sales take place. I'm not worried about the growth of the non-North American business.
The industry is expected to grow along with the economic recovery. More businesses, and expanding businesses, mean more chairs, conference tables, storage solutions, and the like. I know firsthand that Herman Miller makes a top-quality product, and I expect that it will continue to gain market share here and abroad. Trading at a discount to its peers, and with quality long-term prospects, Herman Miller is a compelling story for the risk-averse investor.
The article Would You Be Comfortable Investing in Herman Miller? originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Michael Lewis and The Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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