Can Shoe Carnival Beat These Numbers?

Shoe Carnival (NAS: SCVL) is expected to report Q1 earnings on May 23. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Shoe Carnival's revenues will expand 2.5% and EPS will drop -25.9%.

The average estimate for revenue is $228.1 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.40.


Revenue details
Last quarter, Shoe Carnival reported revenue of $205.7 million. GAAP reported sales were 13% higher than the prior-year quarter's $181.9 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.16. GAAP EPS of $0.15 for Q4 were 6.3% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.16 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 29.2%, 90 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 3.3%, 50 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 1.6%, 20 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $906.7 million. The average EPS estimate is $1.47.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a four-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 78 members out of 89 rating the stock outperform, and 11 members rating it underperform. Among 22 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 21 give Shoe Carnival a green thumbs-up, and one give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Shoe Carnival is outperform, with an average price target of $25.80.

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The article Can Shoe Carnival Beat These Numbers? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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