Dick's Sporting Goods Drops on Failed Weather Predictions, Soft Guidance

Sports EquipmentDick's Sporting Goods Inc. (NYSE: DKS) reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2012 results before markets opened this morning.

For the fourth quarter, the sporting goods retailer reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.03 on revenues of $1.81 billion. In the same period a year ago, it reported EPS of $0.88 on revenue of $1.61 billion. Fourth-quarter results also compare to the Thomson Reuters consensus estimates for EPS of $1.06 and $1.86 billion in revenue. The fourth quarter included 14 weeks, one more than in 2011.

For the full year, the company reported adjusted diluted EPS of $2.53 on revenues of $5.84 billion. The consensus estimates called for EPS of $2.56 on revenues of $5.89 billion. On a GAAP basis, full-year EPS totaled $2.31.

The company's CEO said:

As a result of the unusually warm weather conditions, including during peak selling periods in December, we significantly reduced our inventory levels of cold weather merchandise to align with lower consumer demand and avoid carrying over excess inventory after a second year in a row of warm weather. While this was a prudent move that enabled us to effectively manage inventory and protect our margins, it did limit our ability to capture sales in January when temperatures dropped and snowfall increased.

All retailing at times resembles guesswork, but this seems like a pretty weak excuse for missing estimates, especially given the extra week. Same-store sales at the Dick's Sporting Goods stores fell 2.2% in the quarter, rose 1.3% at Golf Galaxy stores and rose 54.2% for the company's e-commerce business.

The company's estimates that full-year 2013 EPS will total $2.84 to $2.86. The outlook for the first quarter calls for EPS of $0.47 to $0.49 and same-store sales are expected to be flat at best. The consensus estimate calls for first quarter EPS of $0.50 and full-year EPS of $2.92.

Shares are down about 8.3% in premarket trading, at $46.40 in a 52-week range of $44.06 to $54.24. Thomson Reuters had a consensus analyst price target of around $58.50 before today's results were announced.


Filed under: 24/7 Wall St. Wire, Earnings, Retail, Services Tagged: DKS

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