Can Netflix Beat These Numbers?

Netflix (NAS: NFLX) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Jan. 23. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Netflix's revenues will grow 6.8% and EPS will shrink to a loss.

The average estimate for revenue is $934.9 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is -$0.14.


Revenue details
Last quarter, Netflix booked revenue of $905.1 million. GAAP reported sales were 10% higher than the prior-year quarter's $821.8 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, EPS came in at $0.13. GAAP EPS of $0.13 for Q3 were 89% lower than the prior-year quarter's $1.16 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 26.8%, 790 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 1.8%, 1,000 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 0.8%, 680 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $3.60 billion. The average EPS estimate is $0.02.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a two-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 7,795 members out of 9,583 rating the stock outperform, and 1,788 members rating it underperform. Among 2,582 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 2,291 give Netflix a green thumbs-up, and 291 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Netflix is hold, with an average price target of $71.40.

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The article Can Netflix Beat These Numbers? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. The Motley Fool recommends Netflix. The Motley Fool owns shares of Netflix. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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