Explaining Berkshire's Mysterious Buyback
Dec 12th 2012 11:05PM
Updated Dec 13th 2012 11:10AM
Not since the $9 billion acquisition of oil additive company Lubrizol in March 2011 have Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway made an "elephant" purchase, and even that wasn't a very big elephant.
Wednesday marked another 10-digit purchase for Berkshire, which was preceded by a halt in trading. But this one wasn't quite the elephant investors were expecting. In a rare move for the investing luminary, the company bought back $1.2 billion worth of its class A shares -- the second buyback in company history, and much larger than the first buyback of $68 million. Let's take a look at what this means for Berkshire Hathaway and its investors.
That was odd
At 9:40 a.m. on Wednesday, Berkshire Hathaway trading was halted by the SEC pending a news announcement. Immediately, the move seemed odd given that the company probably could have made the announcement 15 minutes earlier before market opened and allowed enough time for investors to digest the information. It seemed the only reason to halt trading would be for a pretty major announcement, possibly related to Buffett's health, his position in the company, or maybe some gigantic acquisition that would rattle the foundation of the Earth.
After a small waiting period, it was announced that Berkshire had decided to buy a chunk of Class A shares of its own stock that were recently made available in an estate sale of a longtime shareholder.
Wait, that's what all of the fuss was about?
It was a very strange way of announcing a buyback, which has been on Buffett's radar for some time. The Berkshire chief had said multiple times that he would begin aggressively buying back stock if the stock traded at 1.1 times book or below. That's where Wednesday's move differs from the plan. Berkshire bought the shares for $131 ,000 per share, which represents a relatively chunky premium given that today's book value is around $112,000. Why would Buffett all of a sudden reverse course on his 1.1 times book rule? That seems very un-Buffett-y of him.
What does it mean?
An easy conclusion would be that Buffett is so confident in the future profit power of Berkshire (which we, of course, know to be true) that he is willing to pay up for the strength of his own business. It is still odd, though, because for much of 2012, Berkshire was trading as low as 1.12 times book value. This would have been a much more attractive entry point for a buyback.
Could this be a favor to the "longtime shareholder" who is most likely an old friend of the Buffett family? 2013 is right around the corner, and that estate tax would likely eat into the billion dollars of Berkshire stock. But is this any more characteristic of a pragmatic Buffett?
I think that neither of these elements were the impetus behind the impromptu self-shopping spree. Sure, Buffett is comfortable in the earnings power of all of the companies under the Berkshire umbrella (except maybe BYD), but he was so, so clear about the point at which he would pull the trigger on a buyback that it is just too uncharacteristic for him to wake up one day and increase that purchase price by 7%-8%.
And while I'm sure it is nothing short of a giant sigh of relief for the estate holders to unload that huge chunk of stock before the clock strikes midnight on January 1, that also seems a bit beyond Buffett's philosophies of what is fair and right regarding the actions of a public company.
This could be going out on a limb, but perhaps this was a quick and harmless way of getting hold of a huge amount of stock in one purchase. Given the liquidity of the stock (Class A shares trading at fewer than 1,000 shares per day), it would take quite a while to get a hold of 9,200 shares. And as soon as Berkshire started buying, everyone else would load in as well, removing even more of a price advantage. Since these estate shares were not on the open market, Buffett could swoop in and buy them all at once, without budging the market and igniting a frenzy.
Again, this is one analyst's guess, and there probably are very few people who know with certainty what happened on Wednesday outside of Omaha, Neb.
As for current investors, your Class A shares are worth more than they were earlier this week. Berkshire Hathaway remains a world-class company to own, whether you are a B class or an A class shareholder. So Happy Hanukkah to those whose shares grew up a little bit this week.
More Berkshire Analysis from The Motley Fool
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The article Explaining Berkshire's Mysterious Buyback originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Michael B. Lewis has no positions in the stocks mentioned above. The Motley Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway. Motley Fool newsletter services recommend Berkshire Hathaway. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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