Why Chipotle's Stock Is the Bomb
Aug 9th 2012 2:41PM
Updated Aug 9th 2012 4:04PM
Industry Rank (out of 30)**
|5-Year EBITDA Growth (CAGR)|
|Same-Store Sales Growth (MRQ)|
|5-Year Revenue Growth (CAGR)|
|Net Profit Margin|
|Cash and Equivalents|
Sources: Finviz.com, Screener.co, and Chipotle's 2Q12 Earnings Release. EBITDA = earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. CAGR = compound annual growth rate. MRQ = most recent quarter. *Median substituted for average. **Various industry participants were excluded to achieve a representative sample.
As you can see, Chipotle is at or near the top across the board. Even though it's the third largest publicly traded restaurant in terms of market capitalization -- behind only McDonald's (NYS: MCD) and Yum! Brands, the proprietor of KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell -- it continues to record stellar growth figures, ranking first in earnings growth, second in revenue growth, and fifth in same-store sales growth.
Its closet competitors here are Buffalo Wild Wings (NAS: BWLD) -- which recorded comparable earnings and revenue growth of 28% and 23%, respectively -- and Arcos Dorados (NYS: ARCO) , the largest McDonald's franchisee in Latin America, which recorded monster 10.4% comps for the just-concluded second quarter.
In addition, the chain converts an above average proportion of its sales dollars to profit, as evidenced by its fifth place standing in net margin -- though, for those of you impressed by these things, Chipotle's stellar 10% figure is still only half of McDonald's!
Finally, it sports a balance sheet that would make even first-year business students salivate, with a ridiculous $456 million in cash versus only $3.6 million in debt. Indeed, only Panera Bread (NAS: PNRA) and BJ's Restaurants even come close in this regard, with no debt and $222 million and $45 million in cash, respectively. With this in mind, my colleague Andrew Marder recently recommended Panera as one of three companies to replace our burrito-slinging muse.
Is its stock worth the price?
Given these impressive figures, it'd be easy to conclude that Chipotle is a contender for any legitimate portfolio. Yet because of this performance, investors have bid up the price of its shares; it's now the third most expensive restaurant stock according to the price-to-earnings ratio, which reveals how much you have to pay for each dollar of earnings.
Two months ago, I would have urged investors to steer clear, as its shares were trading for a monster 44 times earnings. But after the chain's disappointing earnings release, they're far more affordable, trading at 36 times earnings today. Not to mention, as fellow Fool Jeremy Bowman recently pointed out, the chain hasn't even begun to deploy its arsenal of secret weapons, which are essentially guaranteed to increase the company's revenue and earnings for the foreseeable future.
Personally, as I've said before, I think Chipotle is a steal at the current valuation, which is why I gave it a coveted "outperform" CAPScall. Yet each investor and portfolio is different, and only you can answer this question yourself. Prior to doing so, however, I urge you to download our recently released free report about three stocks that our analysts are calling "middle-class millionaire-makers." Click here to view the free report.
The article Why Chipotle's Stock Is the Bomb originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor John Maxfield loves Chipotle burritos but doesn't own their, or any other aforementioned company's, stock. The Motley Fool owns shares of Arcos Dorados Holding, Chipotle Mexican Grill, McDonald's, Panera Bread, and Buffalo Wild Wings. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Buffalo Wild Wings, Panera Bread, and McDonald's. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended writing covered calls on Buffalo Wild Wings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.
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