By MAE ANDERSON
NEW YORK -- Hot weather and clearance sales drew Americans into stores in July, giving retailers solid sales gains and helping offset worries about jobs and the economy.
Results came in better than expected for many retailers, an encouraging sign as the back-to-school season, the second-biggest shopping season behind the holidays, kicks off. Thomson Reuters reported early Thursday that three-quarters of retailers reporting results beat expectations.
"Hot weather and summer clearance, coupled with some newness in stores in the back half of the month, is leading to a nice upside heading into back-to-school," said Ken Perkins, president of RetailMetrics, a research firm. He said colored denim is a key fashion trend that is new in stores and attracting customers. "Retailers were pretty aggressive with promotions, trying to clear out merchandise."
Analysts had expected modest gains in the month, as Americans slowly start to feel better about high unemployment and the bumpy global economy. On Tuesday, The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index rose for the first time in five months. Still, that measure remains at historic lows, and is not expected to improve significantly until hiring picks up substantially. And a separate Commerce Department report Tuesday showed Americans spent no more in June than May, even though their income grew by 0.5 percent.
Only a handful of chains representing roughly 13 percent of the U.S. retail industry report monthly sales. Major chains that don't report include Walmart (
WMT) and J.C. Penney (
JCP). The figures are based on stores open at least a year and are a key measure of retailers' health because they exclude newly opened and closed stores. Economists watch the numbers because consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of U.S. economic activity.
Gap (
GPS) was a surprise outperformer. Revenue in stores open at least a year rose 10 percent, handily beating expectations for a 3.8 percent gain. The figure rose 13 percent at Gap stores, 12 percent at Old Navy and 8 percent at Banana Republic.
Target (
TGT) also performed well, with revenue in stores open at least a year up 3.1 percent in July, as more shoppers visited its stores. Analysts had expected the measure to rise 2.7 percent.
- <p>
<strong>Photofinishing</strong></p>
<p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$1.51 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue:</strong>$897.1 million</p>
<p>
Competition from digital cameras and camera phones has been a blow to the photofinishing industry which has seen revenue shrink 11.4 percent every year over the last 10 years. The pervasiveness of consumer shift to digital devices and online photo-sharing platforms has seen fewer consumers turn to printing photos.</p>
<p>
The photofinishing industry is expected to see <strong>revenue fall 9.9 percent per year</strong> over the next five years. Eastman Kodak Company which recently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection is one of the biggest industry players.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$3.68 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$3.48 billion</p>
<p>
The appliance repair industry has taken a hit since many consumers have opted to buy new household appliances instead of fixing them mostly because the price of household appliances has fallen an annualized rate of 2.4 percent.</p>
<p>
The factor most directly responsible for the industry's downturn however has been the increasing trend among manufacturers to offer warranties on new appliances. Improving appliance technologies have also resulted in lower demand for repair services.</p>
<p>
Revenue for the industry has <strong>fallen 5.7 percent per year</strong> on average for the last 10 years. Sears Holdings and Best Buy are some of the biggest appliance repair industry players.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$5.89 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$2.80 billion</p>
<p>
The DVD, game and video rental industry has taken a hit because of its struggle to adapt to a competitive marketplace and embrace technological developments. Consumers are increasingly opting for streaming, video on demand (VOD) and downloading media.</p>
<p>
The industry has seen revenue fall at an average rate of 6.6 percent per year and is <strong>expected to fall 13.8 percent per year</strong> over the next five years. Coinstar Inc. with its subsidiary Redbox, and DISH Network Corp. are some of the biggest names in the industry.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$834.4 million</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$799.3 million</p>
<p>
The money market and banking industry that is made up of banks owned by non-financial companies and unincorporated banks that are not regulated by the Federal Reserve, took a massive blow during the financial crisis. With no access to TARP many drowned during the recession.</p>
<p>
Many banks have been pushed toward commercial banking status and have seen average annual revenue decline 6.9 percent over the past five years. Moreover consolidation in the banking sector is likely to see revenues decline further, <strong>falling 0.9 percent per year over</strong> the next five years.</p>
<p>
Merrill Lynch Bank USA, American Express Centurion Bank and UBS Bank USA are some of the biggest players in the industry.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$29.30 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$23.70 billion</p>
<p>
The newspaper and publishing industry has seen revenue decline at an annual rate of 6.4 percent over the past 10 years, driven by competition from web-based competitors. News consumers also seem to favor real-time reporting which has seen advertising revenues for newspapers decline.</p>
<p>
Revenue in the industry is expected to decline at an <strong>average rate of 4.2 percent per year</strong> for the next five years. Gannett Co, Tribune Company and the New York Times Company are some of the biggest industry players.</p>
<p>
Newspapers can, however, try to drive revenue through the use of paywalls and by charging for applications that allow access to full issues and multimedia content across a range of platforms.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$4.14 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$3.31 billion</p>
<p>
Technological developments have hurt the recordable media manufacturing industry which makes tapes and disks. Consumers first shifted to hard drives, and more recently to online downloading and streaming technologies. This, combined with the access to on-demand digital media, caused industry revenue to fall an average annual rate of 7.4 percent over the past 10 years.</p>
<p>
The recordable media manufacturing industry is expected to see its revenue decline at an <strong>average rate of 4.4 percent per year</strong> over the next five years. Cinram manufacturing and Zomax are the Major players in the recordable media manufacturing industry.</p>
<p>
This industry does however have room to grow and develop a niche market since bigger files like 3D movies cannot be supported through current streaming technologies.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$7.48 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$6.63 billion</p>
<p>
The rise of low-cost imports is causing a decline in the hardware manufacturing industry. <strong>Imports currently account for more than 50 percent</strong> of all metal hinges, handles, keys and locks sold in the U.S. compared with 29.3 percent in 2002. Most of these imports come from China, Mexico and Canada.</p>
<p>
Stanley, Black & Decker, Assa Abloy, and Ingersoll-Rand Company are the biggest players in the hardware manufacturing industry.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
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- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$1.71 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$1.56 billion</p>
<p>
Competitive imports have delivered an especially hard blow to the shoe and footwear manufacturing industry, which has to compete with low-cost imports that account for a massive 95 percent of domestic consumption.</p>
<p>
<strong>China alone accounts for 75 percent</strong>of the industry's imports. With rising labor costs in China however, Vietnam has also surfaced as a new competitive threat.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$986.7 million</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$889.6 million</p>
<p>
Costume and team manufacturing has seen revenue contract at an <strong>average annual pace of 6.7 percent</strong> over the last decade.</p>
<p>
The industry's revenue is down from $2 billion in 2002. The relocation of manufacturing to other countries has hurt industry revenues. Berkshire Hathaway through its subsidiary Russell Corporation is a major player in this industry.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
- <p>
<strong>2012 revenue: </strong>$8.60 billion</p>
<p>
<strong>2017 revenue: </strong>$8.27 billion</p>
<p>
The women and girls apparel manufacturing industry has been hit by off-shoring and outsourcing. Revenue is already less that half of what it was in 2012 and has <strong>fallen at an average rate of 8.2 percent</strong> over the past decade.</p>
<p>
There are now 1,196 manufacturing sites making women's and girl's apparel in the U.S., down from 2,272 10 years ago. But there is a silver lining, high-end goods in the industry can't be cheaply produced abroad and have a niche consumer that could help it grow.</p>
<p>
Major players in the industry include VF Corporation, Hanesbrands Inc., and Kellwood Company.</p>
<p>
<em>Source: <a href="http://www.ibisworld.com/">IBISWorld</a></em></p>
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And Limited Brands (
LTD), which runs Victoria's Secret and Bath & Body Works, said the revenue figure rose double what analysts expected. The company also boosted its second-quarter earnings outlook and declared a special dividend on Thursday.
Teen clothing sellers were mixed. Abercrombie & Fitch (
ANF) late Wednesday said sales at stores open at least a year fell 10 percent. It also slashed its outlook for future earnings, including cutting second-quarter estimates to between 15 and 18 cents, about half of what analysts had expected. Wet Seal and Zumiez both missed expectations for July.
But Hot Topic (
HOTT) and American Eagle Outfitters (
AEO) both reported strong second-quarter results. American Eagle Outfitters on Wednesday raised its forecast for second-quarter earnings, saying that sales during the period were stronger than expected.
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