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Jim Cramer Slams the Brakes on Zipcar

After surging 13% in less than a week, shares of Zipcar (NAS: ZIP) plunged 9% in early trading on Tuesday. Did a new competitor suddenly sneak up in Zipcar's blind spot?

Not quite. Instead, the market's pessimism seemed to be driven by comments Jim Cramer made the night before. In one fell swoop, CNBC's colorful TV stock analyst ripped off Zipcar's steering wheel and chucked it out the window. Incredibly, the stock recovered all of its losses during the day, but investors were still left scratching their heads. Is Zipcar stuck in a ditch or finally gaining traction?

Zipcar's doom and gloom?
By slamming the brakes on Zipcar, Cramer apparently sent its stock into a tailspin. While Cramer's credentials are impressive in many respects, should a television personality wield that kind of power over a stock price?


Well, perhaps that's a question for another day, since the markets can be incredibly temperamental. More importantly, how do his arguments hold up?

If you evaluate the car-sharing market objectively, you have to admit that new threats are creeping into the picture. Enterprise recently entered the ring, joining Hertz (NYS: HTZ) , Daimler's (OTC: DDAIF.PK) Car2Go service, and others as viable alternatives to Zipcar's somewhat one-dimensional service.

While I have sung the praises of Zipcar's model before, I find it hard to ignore the convenience of Car2Go's one-way car rental service or the potential for Hertz to deploy a fleet 30 times the size of Zipcar's critical markets around the U.S.

Jim Cramer finds this last factor downright impossible to ignore. In his words:

I just don't see how tiny Zipcar, with its $400 million market cap, can compete against these titans, which already have huge fleets of cars with major rental locations all over America. Enterprise and Hertz have a built-in advantage with this business. Zipcar merely has a hip brand, and that can only take you so far.

Obviously, Cramer's not so bullish on Zipcar's revolutionary car-sharing model, first-mover advantage, or incredibly high retention rates. And he makes a strong argument. In the battle of the rental giant versus the nimble upstart, Zipcar's shares, despite losing 60% of their value since the IPO, appear pricey relative to Hertz at this point.

So if Cramer's believes Zipcar's "growth may have already peaked," should investors go ahead and jump out of a vehicle that seemed to be picking up speed? Let's take a closer look.

Zipcar's zoom
Rushing to conclusions about Zipcar's weeklong stock-price run-up would be like handing your 16-year-old kid the keys to your brand-new Maserati -- it's irresponsible. However, analyzing a few storylines could shed some light on Zipcar's potential.

Sure, Cramer raises some valid points about competitive threats from the car-rental industry, but his convictions fly in the face of comments made recently by Morgan Stanley's respected auto analyst, Adam Jonas -- comments I happen to agree with.

Jonas points out that "Zipcar offers a premium service and cars that people want to drive at the best locations with a brand not associated with a tired rent-a-car industry." In other words, Zipcar's brand is precisely the reason the younger generations seem to gravitate toward the car-sharing concept.

Further, Jonas notes: "Concerns over the time/effort it takes to penetrate new cities to a profitable scale are well founded, but we believe are well discounted in the price. ... We think ZIP can grow 2-3 times as fast as traditional [rental car] players." So perhaps Zipcar's valuation isn't so bloated after all?

Ironically, such enthusiasm provided a stark contrast to the rest of Jonas' recent comments on the auto industry. As reported by Business Insider, Jonas bemoaned the lack of enthusiasm for even the most attractively valued companies, including Ford (NYS: F) and GM (NYS: GM) . Exposure to Europe and the cyclical volatility of large manufacturers were two reasons investors seemed altogether uninterested in what Detroit currently has to offer.

Foolish takeaway
Obviously, the auto sector offers a bumpy ride these days. On top of that, all kinds of variables could throw a wrench into this market, including the fact that a younger demographic seems surprisingly indifferent to owning or driving a car at all. While I believe Zipcar remains well positioned to ride this shift in consumer trends, perhaps the volatility is too much for your tastes. In that case, avoid the sleepless nights and saddle up with three proven companies highlighted in our free report, "3 Stocks That Will Help You Retire Rich."

At the time this article was published Fool contributor Isaac Pino owns shares of Zipcar. Follow him on Twitter, @TMFBoomer. The Motley Fool owns shares of Zipcar. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Ford, Zipcar, and General Motors and creating a synthetic long position in Ford. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Copyright © 1995 - 2012 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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7 Comments

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Gumby

I give Zipcar exlusive rights to use my idea on apartment complexes and condonomiums . Hertz and others , stay out!

June 14 2012 at 1:17 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Gumby

Apartment complexes or condominiums is a very logical location to expand shared car operations as they have common parking lots unlike single family housings with own personal driveways or garages. this is where Zipcar can rush to fill up across America!!!!!!!! Why nobody hires me as a market analysit on commission, I will never understand!!!

June 14 2012 at 1:16 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Gumby

Is the market still CYNICAL toward me??

June 13 2012 at 12:31 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Gumby

What Jim C doesnt tell me is how many shared cars do Hertz or Enterprise have now against 7000 or so at Zipcar. Despite bigger in size, they are still dwarfed by Zipcar's fleet of shared cars so far.

June 13 2012 at 12:29 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Gumby

Car sharing companies will be the largest customers of car makers!! Car dealerships will decline considebly except in the tony neighborhoods.. We will fly to towns and hop in shared cars for a spin then walk or ride bus or shared bicycle without having been tethered to a rental car all day or week!! Hertz and Enterprise will have to write down its rental car operations in order to adapt to car sharing operations.. Zipcar is starting fresh from stratch.. so you get the idea???

June 13 2012 at 12:28 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Gumby

I am itching to tear up my long long driveway, Jim Crapper
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

June 13 2012 at 12:24 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Gumby

AS a proud Zip stakeholder, I openly welcome competition as more and more Americans no longer are able to own and maintain his own automoible or are just behaving like a dope addict unable to kick the expensive habit of owning one. I am convinced that more and more Americans will sign up for car sharing , so the pie will keep bigger and bigger .. It is all for grabs. every player will be winning for years to come. Soon enough, practically every town will have shared cars on the curbs within walking distance of 80-90"% of the population. We will be tearing up our hot concrete driveways under the summer sun to help reduce heat absorption in the concrete. we will be planting grass in place of the driveways.. We will be seeing more green!

June 13 2012 at 12:22 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply