Stocks for the Long Run: Colgate-Palmolive vs. the S&P 500
Jun 11th 2012 10:37AM
Updated Jun 11th 2012 10:38AM
A long history of returns.
Investing isn't easy. Even Warren Buffett counsels that most investors should invest in a low-cost index like the S&P 500. That way, "you'll be buying into a wonderful industry, which in effect is all of American industry," he says.
But there are, of course, companies whose long-term fortunes differ substantially from the index. In this series, we look at how members of the S&P 500 have performed compared with the index itself.
Step on up, Colgate-Palmolive (NYS: CL) .
Colgate-Palmolive shares have simply crushed the S&P 500 over the last three decades:
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Since 1980, shares returned an average of 16.9% a year, compared with 11.1% a year for the S&P (both include dividends). That difference adds up fast. One thousand dollars invested in the S&P in 1980 would be worth $29,400 today. In Colgate-Palmolive, it'd be worth $146,500.
Dividends accounted for a lot of those gains. Compounded since 1980, dividends have made up 61% of Colgate-Palmolive's total returns. For the S&P, dividends account for 41.5% of total returns.
And now have a look at how Colgate-Palmolive's earnings compare with S&P 500 earnings:
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Again, significant outperformance. Since 1995, Colgate-Palmolive's earnings per share have grown by an average of 11.3% a year, compared with 6% a year for the broader index. That's testament to the power of the company's brand, where most of its value lies. It also says a lot about how simple businesses like toothpaste often trounce "breakthrough" companies that investors chase.
That earnings-growth dynamic has also led to superior valuations. Colgate-Palmolive has traded for an average of 26.1 times earnings since 1980, compared with 21.3 times for the S&P.
The company has been, without a doubt, an above-average performer historically.
The question is whether that can continue. That's where you come in. Our CAPS community currently ranks Colgate-Palmolive with a five-star rating (out of five). Do you disagree? Leave your thoughts in the comment section below, or add Colgate-Palmolive to My Watchlist.
At the time this article was published Fool contributor Morgan Housel doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article. Follow him on Twitter @TMFHousel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.
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