Boeing Bags a Big 1, and Lockheed Does, Too
Jan 3rd 2012 4:15PM
Updated Jan 3rd 2012 4:28PM
As most of America was preparing to flip its calendars last month, two defense contractors were hitting afterburners -- and blasting into the new year. Last week, the U.S. and Saudi Arabian governments finalized their contract for the sale of nearly $30 billion worth of fighter jets manufactured by Boeing (NYS: BA) . The deal includes an agreement that could lead to Saudi Arabia buying 84 F-15SAs and upgrades for another 70 F-15Ss.
Of course, Boeing is not the only company that will benefit from this deal. General Electric (NYS: GE) will build two of its F110 engines for each of the 84 F-15SAs. If you consider that Saudi Arabia paid $750 million for 156 of the same F110 engines from GE in 2007 and 2008, this contract will likely be worth even more than that, making it a significant sale even for a huge company like GE. This deal, as you may recall, lay at the core of the biggest foreign arms sale in recent memory, an agreement that included everything from United Technologies Black Hawk helicopters to General Dynamics warships.
It was not, however, the only big defense deal making headlines last month. Just a couple weeks earlier, we learned that Japan had chosen Boeing rival Lockheed Martin (NYS: LMT) to provide it with 42 fifth-generation F-35 stealth fighter jets, part of a major upgrade of Japan's Self Defense Forces.
Devils in the details
Figuring out which of these deals is "bigger" is no easy task. Reportedly, Lockheed's deal involves 42 aircraft, valued at more than $7 billion. But considering that the F-35 is a more advanced fighter jet than the F-15, you'd expect it to cost more. After all, the Saudi sale involves just twice as many planes sold (84 new F-15s), and fewer than twice as many old jets being upgraded (70 older F-15s) -- yet is priced at more than four times the $7 billion Japan is shelling out for its F-35s.
What's the catch? My guess is that the reporting on the Japan sale doesn't factor in training costs, spare parts, or service costs, while the Saudi number most likely does. (This is a recurring theme in defense announcements, which often makes apples-to-apples comparisons difficult.)
What is clear is that both deals are big news. By choosing the F-35, Japan essentially waved off a flight of F/A-18 fighters that Boeing had offered to sell it. That's a loss for Boeing, and one that will only grow in magnitude as Japan presumably orders more and more F-35s over time.
On the other hand, by landing the Saudi sale, Boeing put off once again the date when it becomes irrelevant to the global arms market. It postponed the era in which former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Mike Mullen famously declared the F-35 could be the last manned fighter jet the U.S. will ever build.
As it turns out, Boeing's going to be building fighter jets for many years to come.
But is it the best defense stock for your portfolio? Perhaps not. Read the Fool's new -- and free! -- report on two smaller companies that may have bigger potential in: "Too Small to Fail: Two Small Caps the Government Won't Let Go Broke."
At the time this article was published Fool contributor Rich Smith holds no position in any company mentioned above, but The Motley Fool owns shares of General Dynamics and Lockheed Martin. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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