Why's My Beer So Expensive? The Forces Behind a Sudsy Economic Indicator

Why's My Beer So Expensive? A Sudsy Economic IndicatorIt's strange to think that someone actually invented beer, that it hasn't just always been there, like centrifugal force or oxygen. But it's true: 6,000 years before Jesus even hit the scene, the Babylonians -- people living in the area that is modern-day Iraq -- began fermenting barley in the glittering heat of the Mesopotamian desert, and making clay vessels in which to store the frothy brew and trade it with neighbors.

I don't know what they charged for the beer -- two jugs for one goat? -- but I can't imagine it cost more than we're paying today, when the average prices for a case are $20.34 at the supermarket and $19.92 at a convenience store, up 3% and 2.3% respectively from a year ago.

For a couple of years, I mostly kept my mouth shut as my bottled buddies crept up in price, though I sometimes moaned to the cashier even as I passed her my credit card. But once a case crossed that $20 threshold, something snapped. I started to feel wronged, and resentful. More constructively, I began to wonder why my brew was getting more expensive. Turns out, a lot goes into the answer.

Three years ago, Bavaria, the largest state in Germany, suffered a bad hops harvest. These green, pine cone-shaped flowers are the essential ingredient in brewing beer, and because Germany alone provides roughly 35% of the world's supply of hops, the crop shortage created an immediate and significant problem for beermakers who found themselves suddenly scrabbling to locate this key ingredient. And as we all know, when supply decreases and demand doesn't, prices rise. To cover those new higher costs, brewing companies added a few cents to the price of our beer.

Going Against the Grain ... and Mother Nature

The other key commodity that goes into our beer are grains -- most often malted barley, but sometimes wheat or even rice. And like hops, or any other crop, they're vulnerable to inclement weather or attacks from swarming insects.
I'm going to be honest here and say that I, for one, don't pay much attention to weather patterns in my own city, much less in places like Russia or Asia.

But apparently I should, as a heat wave in the Ukraine can directly add to the cost of beer -- and is doing so right now. Global grain production is down, thanks in large part to unusually brutal heat in the former Soviet Union and droughts in China. See the previous discussion of supply and demand, but in this case, the effects are wider, because unlike hops, which is mostly used in beer, we've got a few other uses for grains. Between people food, animal food, biofuels and of course, our beer -- along with a steadily growing world population that wants to consume them -- yes, another few pennies are getting added onto the cost of every beer.

Then there's transportation. All those raw materials have to be shipped to the brewers, and the finished products shipped to the retailers who sell it to us, all of which requires fuel. Fuel, that, until very recently, had been getting steadily more expensive this year. Yet another addition to the price we pay for our beer.

What Goes Up ... Doesn't Come Down

Beyond simple responses to these market forces, price increases may also be a conscious move on the part of the large beer manufacturers. According to Benj Steinman at Beer Marketers Insights, Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), for example, made a "strategic shift," to shrink the price gap between the company's more and less expensive brands to avoid "trade down," a term used to describe the consumer's tendency to purchase the less expensive of two beers manufactured by the same company. Given that Anheuser-Busch InBev controlled 48.3% of the U.S. beer market in 2010, any strategy they follow is sure to have wide effects. It's likely other manufacturers will follow suit, further raising the cost of our beer.

Lastly, there is a frustrating but not entirely surprising explanation for the high cost of beer these days -- greed. As Mike Reinhardt of thankheavenforbeer.com explains, "Once a consumer gets used to paying a certain amount, the spike in price goes up pretty quickly, but the going down is pretty slow." A bad hops or grain crop may cause a rise in price, but once the market adjusts, and even once raw materials become more available, companies still tend to charge the same price as during the shortage. "There's just no going back," says Reinhardt.

Sigh. What a bummer. Someone, please, pass me a beer.

Loren Berlin is a columnist at DailyFinance.com. She can be reached at loren.berlin (at) teamaol.com. You can follow her on Twitter @LorenBerlin, or on Facebook.

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It's cheaper to smoke marijuana now, and I mean that in all seriousness.

July 13 2013 at 12:19 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Hans Jurie Muller

Are you facing a economic crises....­?

Get back to basics,vis­it:

June 09 2011 at 4:17 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

Major Fraud Alert

The entire Federal Banking System under FirstGov has been "Consumed" and "Levied" by way of a Maryland State Circuit/District Court Ruled “Appropriation and Garnishment” of all Future Earnings prior to and after 2004 against Bank Of America by way of the F.D.I.C. Regulations Prohibiting failing Banks from Merging with other failing Banks between the Dates of 08/04/08 and 10/09/09.

Bank of America violated the 21st Century Act: Final Amendments to Regulation CC Section: http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/press/bcreg/2004/20040726/attachment.pdf

seeking reimbursement of Credit, Loan, and Finance Balances as a "Bank Entity" and not a "Nonbank Consumer" as specified on Pages 85 and 86.

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May 28 2011 at 11:40 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Evan Satterwhite

Put a pencil to it and see how much you spend on alcohol per year, and is empty calories for your body. Its addictive nature is the part that makes it hard. It drains your wallet, hurts your liver and heaqrt, and makes you fat and unsexxy. Verdict? Stop spending your money and improve your body. Alcohol is something your body doesnt need.

May 26 2011 at 2:01 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Evan Satterwhite's comment

shut up!

May 27 2011 at 1:42 AM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
Harry Piels

Beer drinkers need to be better consumers. There are plenty of good beers that cost less. Don't buy the big names or the packages that deceive you into paying more. Buy a case and remember me and Bert.

May 23 2011 at 5:36 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Harry Piels's comment

Beer prices are like gas prices as long as there is a demand for the product prices will rise. Prices seek a level of comfort for consumers.Do you notice much difference in the price of beer today, even with all the brands out there?Budweiser prices went up because the gigantic European company bought them out and immediately raised prices.

May 23 2011 at 1:28 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

If folks in the early days of beer were paying one goat for two jugs of beer, they were paying much more than the average price today. The current price of small (55 lb) average quality meat kid goat ready for slaughter is about $106. I'm no idea how much a Babylonian jug held, but I doubt it was the 6 gallons of beer you can buy for $53 today.

One huge factor in the price of beer is America's use of about 39% of our corn production to produce ethanol fuel. The only reason that the U.S. continues the absurd policy of converting food into fuel is our absurd method of selecting presidential candidates which gives Iowa, the largest corn producer, a veto.

May 23 2011 at 12:47 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
Tom M

The price ratcheting you refer to is no doubt due to the recent buyouts/consolidations of the international beer market. With the previous buyout of Miller by the South African company, SAB; and the more recent buyout of Anheuser-Busch by the Belgian company InBev (who now calls themselves Anheuser-Busch InBev, but this doesn't get around the fact this is a Belgian company 'owning' the largest American brewer), the majority of beer in the world is now sold by these two behemoths. Their brands include: Miller, Pilsner Urquell, Peroni, Grolsch, Stella, Becks, Labatt Canada, Brahma, Bass, Alexander Keiths, Rolling Rock, Spaaten, Lowenbrau, Hoegaarden, Michelob, and others. In addition, Molson/Coors brewing company is tied to SAB/Miller. To prevent these behemoth companies from continuing to ratchet up the price of beer, we should support locally owned and brewed beer. This means both local brews as well as supporting American-made and -owned beers such as Samuel Adams, Yuengling, and even Labatt's USA (InBev was required to spin-off the Labatt's USA brand to allow it to purchase Anheuser-Busch; Labatt's USA is owned by a New York city investment company and is brewed in upstate New York). Buy US/buy local!

May 23 2011 at 12:18 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply

beer prices are supply and demand. stop buying for a month and see if you don't feel just as good and ask friends to do the same. watch the price fall.

May 23 2011 at 11:59 AM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply

"Mesopotamian dessert?" What exactly is that? A sand pie?

The horrific state of the American education system combined with an over-reliance on spell checker has resulted in even our "writers" being functionally illiterate.

May 23 2011 at 10:17 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply