Fedex, UPS upbeat on holiday shipping despite recession's hangover
Filed under: Company News, Economy, Earnings, UPS
FedEx (FDX) and United Parcel Service (UPS) are gearing up for a busy holiday season with expectations of record-setting numbers of shipments. Their upbeat estimates fly in the face of tepid retail sales and expectations that recession-weary consumers will keep a tight rein on purchases this year."The consensus is flat, but I believe it will be slightly better than that," UPS CEO Scott Davis said of holiday demand. Speaking Wednesday at a meeting of Asia-Pacific corporate and political leaders in Singapore, Davis said that many of the company's retail and technology customers "are quite bullish on this Christmas season," even as others remain cautious, Reuters reported.
On Tuesday, FedEx said it expects to ship more than 13 million packages on Dec. 14, the day it anticipates will be its busiest of the year. If the prediction holds, it would result in an 8% increase compared its busiest day of 2008, when it shipped 12 million parcels. Last year's increase in shipments was bolstered by a partnership with the U.S. Post Office and rival DHL's decision to exit the U.S. market.
The year-to-year rise follows a trend of increased consumer buying at online retailers, which usually results in goods being shipped directly to consumers' homes.
Shipping Prices to Rise in 2010
Memphis, Tenn.-based FedEx based its holiday forecast on talks with large customers and brightening economic data. "Clearly [last year] we were in the midst of the worst recession since World War II," Mike Glenn, executive vice president of market development, said in an interview with The Associated Press. "But there are a number of factors that are encouraging as we head into this peak season."
UPS's expectations of a brighter holiday season come just a month after the Atlanta-based company reported quarterly earnings fell 43% percent. At the time, UPS said it remained unclear just how busy the season would be.
In anticipation of growing volumes heading into next year, CEO Davis told Reuters the company will hike shipping rates for 2010. The move follows a similar move by FedEx, which plans to announce later this month how much it plans to increase rates.
"I think we will go back to see positive volumes next year as the economy improves," Scott told the news agency ahead of the Singapore meeting.
Both FedEx and UPS typically release their holiday peak predictions in November. Last year, however, neither company made predictions, citing economic uncertainty.
UPS could release a more specific prediction later this month, AP reported.



























Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-11-2009 @ 1:31PM
algon said...
"gearing up for a busy holiday season with expectations of record-setting numbers of shipments." The shippers are predicting an increase in shipments, would be realistic if gas was back at $4 per gallon. Seems like UPS and FedEx are putting the cart-before-the-horse, by projecting increased volumes, with 10% unemployement throughout most countrys economies. Sounds like wishfull thinking, for a profitable holiday
season,especially when previous qtr profits fell over 40%.
Reply
11-11-2009 @ 1:43PM
Anthony Brown said...
I think this may be more of a sign of increased online shopping, than record-breaking actual holiday sales - just my 2 cents.
Reply
11-11-2009 @ 1:54PM
Mike said...
"Fedex, UPS upbeat on holiday shipping"
I'm sure they would come out and say, "Uh-oh, this is gonna be ugly."
Reply
11-11-2009 @ 3:17PM
dlslass said...
My husband works for Fedex and I will tell you he is starting to work later and later. He is a driver so I know first hand that Fedex is getting very busy :)
Reply
11-11-2009 @ 3:20PM
Frank said...
If you are an AMERICAN and WANT to do the right thing for business that has been around decades longer than fedx, PLEASE MAIL UPS OR UNITED STATES OF AMERICA POSTAL SERVICE. The world is round and what goes around comes around. PEACE TO YOU AND YOURS AMERICANS.
Reply
11-11-2009 @ 7:38PM
GB said...
FedEx is about as American as you can get--nothing wrong with shipping with them at all
11-11-2009 @ 5:28PM
adamp791 said...
BOTCOTT FED-EX !! THEY EXPLOIT THEIR WORKFORCE!!
Reply
11-13-2009 @ 9:24PM
Kallie Bear said...
They do not expolit thier workforce. Funny how people who say they do --- DO not work for FedEx.
11-11-2009 @ 5:31PM
adamp said...
BOYCOTT FED-EX!!!!!! THEY EXPLOIT THEIR WORKERS!!
Reply
11-11-2009 @ 8:03PM
Paul Hansen said...
FedEx is the way to ship! The company does not exploit workers and is consistently ranked one of the best companies in the US. UPS....meet GM..thats your future......
11-11-2009 @ 6:41PM
jim said...
Sounds like that other guy must have be fired from FEDEX he must be one of those lazy workes that must want a paycheck but not work for it he must go work for the UAW he'll like much better their.
Reply
11-11-2009 @ 7:52PM
greg belter said...
I hear Santa has a brand new bag....lol that's kinda funny come to think.
Reply