Amid this recession, even the burglars are out of work
Conventional wisdom has it that as the economy sours, crime picks up. Faced with job losses and few other opportunities, it might be expected that an increasing number of people would turn to illegal acts, such as burglary, to make a living. Except that it's not happening -- not in this recession, anyway. Many U.S. cities, regardless of size, are seeing fewer burglaries in this period of economic woe. In Minneapolis, the number of burglaries reported during roughly the first nine months of the year fell more than 15% compared to the same span a year ago, The Associated Press reported. Compared to 2007, the decrease is even more dramatic -- down 25%.
In Boston, burglaries during the same time frame dropped 13.2% to 2,199, down from 2,534 a year ago. In Aurora, Ill., a city of some 170,000 on the outskirts of Chicago, burglaries fell 15.5% to 560 through the end of September, while Shelby, N.C., which has a population of 21,000, saw burglaries plummet 61.7% to 23, compared to 60 last year, according to the AP.
Law-enforcement officials say they are being aided in their efforts to reduce burglaries by falling commodity prices for copper and other metals that thieves were once keen to strip from abandoned homes. Nevertheless, police say that alone doesn't explain the drop in thefts.
Tougher to Rob a House When Somebody's Home
"Just because we're in a recession doesn't mean the opportunity for residential burglaries has increased," says Robert D. McCrie, professor of security management at John Jay College of Criminal Justice in Manhattan. With the nation's unemployment rate having spilled into double digits -- to 10.2% last month -- "there's more likelihood people will be around their property to keep an eye on it," McCrie told DailyFinance.
What's more, greater numbers of people are working from home, if not on a permanent basis at least occasionally, providing thieves with even fewer opportunities. Add to that an increase in use of home alarms in dwellings of all types. Though the devices don't prevent break-ins, McCrie says, they do reduce the frequency of burglaries.
The drop in burglaries is surprising given that rates had been on the rise between 2007 and 2008, and experts just assumed the trend would continue as recession wore on and joblessness mounted.
Crime Rising in Some Cities, But Rising More Slowly
The anecdotal reports of fewer burglaries won't be verified until the Federal Bureau of Investigation releases its tallies late next year, but the trend still surprises some experts, since property crimes tend to rise during recessions.
"We've seen that in every single recession in the U.S. at least since the '50s," University of Missouri – St. Louis sociologist Richard Rosenfeld told the AP. "I would have expected by now some upward movement in burglary numbers."
The phenomenon isn't universal, however. Cities such as Houston, San Jose, Calif., and Chicago have seen burglary rates rise. But Chicago has seen rates rise at a slower pace than last year.
And in Los Angeles, where the rate of burglaries was already falling last year, it's now falling even faster. The rate dropped 6% in the first nine months of the year, compared to a 1% dip during the same period in 2008.
A decrease in crime may be one of the few good things to come out of the nation's recent economic ills. Perhaps it shows that more burglars are buying into the idea that crime doesn't pay. Or maybe they all just have the flu.



























Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-10-2009 @ 6:40PM
MyKisa said...
....soon enough unemployed people staying home will be unarmed and easy pickings....maybe you can all wait for the government food truck to come by together
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11-10-2009 @ 6:53PM
Wendell said...
When people are at home, working on their computers, trying to save money, not driving around, it means there will be fewer burglaries. However, don't be surprised if there is an uptic in Home invasion robberies, once things continue to get worse.
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11-10-2009 @ 6:57PM
Richard said...
And what about people cancelling their vacations, road trips, etc.?
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11-10-2009 @ 8:13PM
jessie said...
the burglers in congress and wall street seem to be doing just fine
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11-10-2009 @ 8:46PM
Ericsons news said...
Burglers...shame on you..get back to work..can't get your compensation for n o t h i n g!
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11-10-2009 @ 8:48PM
Mark said...
Why does aol put us thru this? Are they the TSA of comments?
Reply
11-10-2009 @ 9:55PM
John said...
Wow, this article seems to fly in the face of what I see first hand every day. I am in home security sales with Broadview Security in North Atlanta. My request for appointments has almost doubled from this same time last year. We are a national company and many of my fellow SSC's in other states concur that they are responding to more burglaries than 4th quarter 2008. Many are home invasions!
Reply
11-10-2009 @ 9:29PM
Cop said...
This is the perfect example of media manipulation. Theft on "advertised" foreclosed homes is way up. Appliances, granite counter tops etc. This is a media ploy to deter theft by stating it is down because the group that is most likely to steal is also the same group most likely to follow the trends.
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