Skip to Content

Even a hit Droid phone won't fix Verizon's woes

Text SizeAAA

Filed under: Company News, Technology, Google , Motorola, Research In Motion, Apple, AT&T, Verizon

More

As the hype mounts for Verizon (VZ)'s launch of its Google (GOOG) Android-powered phone, investors have started anticipating what a hit could mean for Google's and Verizon's bottom lines.

Shares of BlackBerry maker Research in Motion (RIMM) got hammered yesterday after analysts said that the Droid might become a major competitor in the business market, where Apple (AAPL)'s iPhone has largely failed to gain ground. And Droid handset-maker Motorola (MOT) has seen its shares surge, partially around anticipation that the operating system may give it a hit phone after a long drought.

But investors should temper their expectations of Verizon Communications, the carrier behind Droid and the country's largest wireless operator. Even a highly popular Droid may mean less for the company's bottom line than it may seem at first glance.

Rival Carriers

For starters, while AT&T (T) has the exclusive deal for the iPhone, a host of other carriers will sell the Droid OS. That means the marketing dollars that Verizon puts into its phone will help boost its rivals, too. And when it comes to profiting from the Droid, nearly half of the income will go to Vodafone Group (VOD), the global wireless giant that holds a 45% stake in Verizon Wireless.

Unfortunately, Verizon has no partner to share the woes of its landline business. Like other traditional phone businesses, Verizon's is getting eviscerated as customers ditch landlines for cellular counterparts. The unit's operating income margins fell to 3.8% in the third quarter, compared to 8.6% a year ago.

So while Verizon has to split its $15.8 billion in third-quarter wireless revenue with Vodafone, the $11.6 billion generated from its shrinking wire-line unit remain firmly on its balance sheet.

Gambling on FiOS

While rivals like AT&T have chosen to patch up their ailing landline businesses with relatively low-cost technologies, Verizon has doubled down instead. It's spending $23 billion to roll out FiOS, its state-of-the-art fiber optic network capable of delivering TV, super-high-speed Internet, and digital phone services.

Greeted by rave customer reviews -- and backed by aggressive Verizon promotions, like free HD TVs -- FiOS gained got off to a roaring start. But it showed an ominous drop in growth in the third quarter, when new additions dropped to 191,000, from 300,000 the previous quarter. At an annualized rate, that's far below the million customers Verizon has said it wants to add every year.

A new wave of reports about the painful process of installing FiOS is throwing another wrench into the FiOS buildout, leading Verizon to consider curbing its ambitions among a sharp consumer-led recession.

Landline Business Limping

Building out FiOS may be even tougher as Verizon sets its sights on major urban areas like New York City, where the company has to negotiate hookups with each apartment building landlord. A FiOS stall would put further pressure on Verizon's limping landline business.

So while the buzz around Droid grabs headlines, investors should take listen to the warning of analysts like Craig Moffett at Sanford C. Bernstein, who wrote in a research note last week that the ailing landline business may make Verizon "unlikely to return to meaningful growth after the recession finally comes to a close."

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Add your comments

Please keep your comments relevant to this blog entry. Email addresses are never displayed, but they are required to confirm your comments.

When you enter your name and email address, you'll be sent a link to confirm your comment, and a password. To leave another comment, just use that password.

To create a live link, simply type the URL (including http://) or email address and we will make it a live link for you. You can put up to 3 URLs in your comments. Line breaks and paragraphs are automatically converted — no need to use <p> or <br /> tags.

Interest Rates

5/1 ARM+4.19%APR: +3.81%
30 Yr.
Fixed Mort.
+5.02%APR: +5.16%
$30K
HELOC
+8.00%APR: 0.00%
30 Mo
New Car Loan
+6.79%APR: 0.00%
1 Yr. CD+1.57%APR: +1.58%
DailyFinance Writers
Melly Alazraki Melly Alazraki Financial writer and analyst
James Altucher James Altucher Financial columnist
Jeff Bercovici Jeff Bercovici Media columnist
Jonathan Berr Jonathan Berr Financial writer and media columnist
Mercedes Cardona Mercedes Cardona Retail reporter
Tim Catts Tim Catts Financial writer
Peter Cohan Peter Cohan Author, venture capitalist and financial writer
Carrie Coolidge Carrie Coolidge Financial writer
Lita Epstein Lita Epstein Financial writer
Sam Gustin Sam Gustin Technology Writer
Nikhil Hutheesing Nikhil Hutheesing Tech and investing editor
Joseph Lazzaro Joseph Lazzaro Markets and economics writer
Latif Lewis Michelle Leder Financial Columnist
Latif Lewis Latif Lewis Business news editor and management columnist
Anthony Massucci Anthony Massucci Senior writer and tech columnist
Doug McIntyre Doug McIntyre Business and investing news writer and editor
Michael Mercurio Michael Mercurio Managing Editor
Todd Pruzan Todd Pruzan Features editor
Michael Rainey Michael Rainey Editor and economics writer
Alex Salkever Alex Salkever Senior technology writer
David Schepp David Schepp Business News reporter
Matthew Scott Matthew Scott Investing reporter and editor
Dan Solin Daniel R. Solin Author, investment advisor and retirement expert
Amey Stone Amey Stone Executive editor
Bruce Watson Mark Svenvold Columnist, renewable energy
Russel Turk, M.D. Russell Turk, M.D. Healthcare policy columnist
Bruce Watson Bruce Watson Features Writer
my portfolios

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance than anywhere else.

Create a New Portfolio My Portfolios

Daily Finance Partners

More from the Weblogs Network