Skip to Content

How is the economy doing? Look in your underwear drawer

Text SizeAAA

Filed under: Economy, Investing

More

It looks like 2009 was a bad year for men's underwear. Mintel, a consumer research firm, says that sales of men's skivvies dropped 2.3 percent from 2008. Meanwhile, NPD Group, another firm, argues that the decline was more on the order of 12 percent. Either way, it's a fair bet that many underwear drawers are looking a bit ragged.

Some analysts refer to this economic measure as the "underwear index." While seasonal outerwear, flashy luxury clothes, and women's lingerie are often tied to seasons or holidays, men's undies tend to be pretty straightforward. They are replaced as needed, which means that their sales should remain relatively constant.

In this context, 2009's drop in the sales of men's underwear means that many men are walking around with busted elastic, fabric that has worn thin, or a much-reduced stock of spare BVDs. Given the difficulty of getting a few extra months out of a pair of boxers, it suggests that many men are reaching the end of their easily-absorbed cutbacks. After all, while eating out less or taking fewer trips can be a minor annoyance, wearing tired underwear or -- worse yet -- going commando suggests that consumers are truly caught on the horns of a financial dilemma.

While an unusual measure of the economy, the underwear index is reportedly one of Alan Greenspan's favorite statistics to consult. Part of its significance probably lies in the possibility that, for many men, buying underwear is largely unconscious. When asked about the state of his underclothes, one consumer (who chose to remain nameless) stated, "Actually, I'm running out. I don't know how it happened." He went on to note that he has been cutting back on some expenses. As the drop in underwear sales continues, it seems to be shifting from an unconscious to a conscious trend; in the process, it is becoming increasingly significant, as consumers deliberately sacrifice comfort for cash.

The underwear index is a lagging indicator, and the delay between finances and Fruit of the Looms is most likely measured in weeks, not hours. Even so, skivvy sales highlight the links between Wall Street and (the underwear drawer on) Main Street, demonstrating the macro effects of changes in everyday micro spending.

This connection can have unforeseen effects: for example, in addition to delaying underwear purchases, many men seem to be switching from boxers to jockey shorts: According to Mintel, sales of briefs are rising 0.6 percent against sales of boxers. While not particularly large, this number is significant, as underwear preferences are not easily changed. Part of this shift is likely a measure of price: on the Hanes (HBI) website, a seven-pack of BVDs costs the same as a two-pack of boxers. And in my experience, briefs usually last longer than boxers.

If one looks at history, however, a different interpretation emerges. According to the Jockey underwear company, its iconic briefs first hit stores in 1935, during the height of the Great Depression. Despite financial misery, lack of disposable income, and a massive blizzard, Marshall Fields' Chicago store sold out its entire stock before noon on the first day of release. Under the circumstances, one has to wonder if economic uncertainty brings out the daredevil in some consumers. To put it another way, does an empty bank account push consumers to -- as it were -- put it all out there?

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Add your comments

Please keep your comments relevant to this blog entry. Email addresses are never displayed, but they are required to confirm your comments.

When you enter your name and email address, you'll be sent a link to confirm your comment, and a password. To leave another comment, just use that password.

To create a live link, simply type the URL (including http://) or email address and we will make it a live link for you. You can put up to 3 URLs in your comments. Line breaks and paragraphs are automatically converted — no need to use <p> or <br /> tags.

Interest Rates

5/1 ARM4.06%APR: 3.75%
30 Yr.
Fixed Mort.
5.03%APR: 5.16%
$30K
HELOC
8.00%APR: 0.00%
30 Mo
New Car Loan
6.77%APR: 0.00%
1 Yr. CD1.57%APR: 1.58%
DailyFinance Writers
Melly Alazraki Melly Alazraki Financial writer and analyst
James Altucher James Altucher Financial columnist
Jeff Bercovici Jeff Bercovici Media columnist
Jonathan Berr Jonathan Berr Financial writer and media columnist
Mercedes Cardona Mercedes Cardona Retail reporter
Tim Catts Tim Catts Financial writer
Peter Cohan Peter Cohan Author, venture capitalist and financial writer
Carrie Coolidge Carrie Coolidge Financial writer
Lita Epstein Lita Epstein Financial writer
Sam Gustin Sam Gustin Technology Writer
Nikhil Hutheesing Nikhil Hutheesing Tech and investing editor
Joseph Lazzaro Joseph Lazzaro Markets and economics writer
Latif Lewis Michelle Leder Financial Columnist
Latif Lewis Latif Lewis Business news editor and management columnist
Anthony Massucci Anthony Massucci Senior writer and tech columnist
Doug McIntyre Doug McIntyre Business and investing news writer and editor
Michael Mercurio Michael Mercurio Managing Editor
Todd Pruzan Todd Pruzan Features editor
Michael Rainey Michael Rainey Editor and economics writer
Alex Salkever Alex Salkever Senior technology writer
David Schepp David Schepp Business News reporter
Matthew Scott Matthew Scott Investing reporter and editor
Dan Solin Daniel R. Solin Author, investment advisor and retirement expert
Amey Stone Amey Stone Executive editor
Bruce Watson Mark Svenvold Columnist, renewable energy
Russel Turk, M.D. Russell Turk, M.D. Healthcare policy columnist
Bruce Watson Bruce Watson Features Writer
my portfolios

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance than anywhere else.

Create a New Portfolio My Portfolios

Daily Finance Partners

More from the Weblogs Network