Mark Mobius says bull market rally in emerging markets has just begun
Filed under: Investing
The 1,000-point rally in Dow Jones Industrial Average over the past two weeks -- and 400 point spike today -- is spreading beyond the Atlantic and Pacific. Investors who wait too long to dive in may miss out, says one prominent money manager.The next "bull-market'' rally in developing-nation stocks has started, says Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd. in San Mateo, California. As the U.S. treasury unveils details to revive the banking system, stocks are rallying around the globe, including Russia and China. Mobius says there are bargains popping up in every emerging market.
"You have to be careful not to miss the opportunity,'' Mobius said in an interview with Bloomberg Television today. "With all the negative news, there is a tendency to hold back."
Some market analysts have preached caution this month, telling investors the current rally may be a head-fake by the market, before it again heads lower. As the rally has lengthened over the past week, more analysts and fund managers are bravely predicting a market bottom has been already been set.
"I have a feeling we're at the bottom and now we're building a base for the next bull market,'' Mobius said. While the bottom is in, he told Bloomberg, "you are going to see a lot of bouncing off the bottom because there's a tremendous amount of uncertainty in the market.''
Mobius, 72, who helps oversee about $20 billion of emerging-market assets at Templeton, was voted among the "Top Ten Money Managers of the 20th Century" by the Carson Group. In 2006, he was named one of the "Top 100 Most Powerful and Influential People" by Asiamoney magazine. In December, Mobius correctly predicted that emerging markets will rebound before developed nations.
Specifically, he's looking to buy stock in companies rich with cash, low in debt and high in dividend yields. He also is open to looking at companies that will pay shareholders while investing in growth.
In the TV interview, he mentioned companies including Hong Kong's Denway Motors Ltd., PTT Plc in Thailand, Indonesia's Bank Central Asia, ICICI Bank Ltd. in India, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Dairy Farm International Holdings Ltd. in Singapore.



























Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
3-23-2009 @ 5:11PM
sgentilejr said...
Putting the cart in front of the horse never works. The stock market gains are mere Smoke and Mirrors without corresponding gains in economic activity and corporate profits.
Currently we have companies such as Federal Express saying their profits are way down and the US Post Office saying they are now losing money because shipping volumes and advertisement mail volumes are down and the likes of American Express saying that 8% of their credit card holders are defaulting. That information is far more indicative of how the economy is doing than the DOW average. Layoff notices are increasing. Unemployment is increasing. Business bankruptcies are increasing. It is ludicrous to believe that if all of the stock markets around the globe go up_ _ _ _ _ the economies in those countries will stop declining and grow also. Good luck to everyone who jumps into the stock markets now in anticipation of future economic growth, when the only growth now taking place is in the size of the Federal and State’s budget deficits.
Reply
3-24-2009 @ 12:25PM
Peter Bourlin said...
After all of these bad economic news, we're all hoping to be touching the bottom with our toes; yet it seems the prevaling
scenario does not yet arouse excessive optimism.
There was an interesting clip on television about a small Oregon bank that received $100+ million and they are actually doing something unheard of in today's market enviornment.
They are actually lending money to QUALIFIED home borrowers at 3.97% and their phones are ringing; the construction companies are now hiring.
Imagine that---a bank actually lending money and stimulating
their local economy.