Bernanke: AIG failure would have been 'devastating' to financial system
Filed under: Economy
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke re-affirmed the Fed's and the U.S. Treasury's previous decisions to bail out the banking sector and AIG, and underscored that an AIG failure would have been 'devastating' for the U.S. and global financial systems, C-SPAN reports. In response to questions from the Senate Banking Committee, Bernanke reiterated that wholesale nationalization of the U.S. banking system would not be necessary and that is not the government's plan. However, at the same time, Bernanke added that the banking bailout may need more money beyond the $700 billion Congress has already approved.
During the past 18 months, the Fed's balance sheet has more than doubled to $1.9 trillion as it has sought to stabilize key financial institutions, such as Citigroup (C) and AIG (AIG).
Further, Bernanke provided his clearest statement to-date regarding the implications of a potential AIG failure. "A failure of AIG would have been devastating for the U.S. financial system. Nothing makes me angrier than AIG's circumstance...And I share your anger, Senator," Bernanke said, C-SPAN reported.
Still, Bernanke remains optimistic regarding the ultimate effectiveness of the federal government's interventions. "I think we will eventually get results, we will eventually stabilize the financial system...and the economy will return to growth," Bernanke said.
AIG may need $300-500 billion more?
One economist told DailyFinance Tuesday that effectiveness may hinge on more, assertive action by the Fed with respect to AIG. Economist David H. Wang, whose specializations include credit analysis, said he believes AIG "may need $300-500 billion more in Fed assistance, depending on the extensiveness of its operations."
"AIG is intertwined in the global financial system with a myriad of credit default swap products, derivatives, and other financial products," Wang said. "Based on what I've reviewed about their operations so far, I would be very surprised if AIG did not need at least another $200 billion more in assistance, and most likely more."
Still, Wang expressed full-confidence in Bernanke's strategy to-date. "Bernanke has data you or I can not review," Wang said. "While one can critique minor tactics, I do not doubt for a minute that had the Fed not intervened with AIG, and AIG failed, the consequences for the U.S. and global financial systems would have been devastating. An AIG failure would have made the fall-out from the Lehman Brothers failure look like a picnic."
Monetary / Economic Analysis: In testimony, Bernanke also said there were limits on how high the U.S. national debt could go, but did not specify a percent of GDP ceiling. The U.S. is trending toward a national debt equaling 60% of U.S. GDP -- high but not unprecedented, he said, and the ultimate arbiter of the ceiling would be the international financial community, and it's very hard to know when they would balk.
The good news there: That gives the U.S. more 'resource room-leeway' to add debt, if needed, for financial system stabilization. To be sure, no one wants to add more debt, but if economist Wang is correct about AIG's health, the U.S. -- and other governments around the world, for that matter - - have no other choice.



























Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
3-03-2009 @ 1:29PM
Nick said...
I wish I could believe that the US government could run AIG somehow or somewhat better, but I haven't much confidence in that either. It sure seems that AIG should not be buttressed by any more taxpayer money or, if it is, it should cease to exist as an independent entity. In any event, that particular situation cannot be tolerated or repeated if our economic system is to be taken seriously in the future. This is an outrage!!!
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3-03-2009 @ 1:40PM
PHILL C said...
SINCE WHEN DID ANYONE ON WALL STREET EVER GIVE A DAMN ABOUT ANYTHING OR ANYONE BUT THEIR OWN ARROGANT/GREEDY SELVES???
..BERNAKE IS THE BEATING BONEHEAD FOR THE WALL STREET RICH...WHO NOW..AFTER GETTING CAUGHT WITH THEIR HANDS IN THE COOKIE JAR..NOW ARE WHINNING ABOUT WHY THEY CANT GET "TAX PAYER PAID-WELFARE PAYMENTS"...FEW OF THESE BUMS ARE NOTHING MORE THAN WELL EDUCATED CROOKS WHO DONT REALLY INVEST...THEY ARE TRADERS WHO HAVE ONE THING IN THEIR MINDS..."THEIR MONEY,MAKE IT BIG AND FAST"...THE REST OF THE WORLD CAN GO SCREW...THEY COULD CARE LESS...A SAD STATE OF AFFAIRS HERE IN THE "LAND OF OPPORTUNITY""......AND THEY WERE SO CLOSE TO CREATING THE REPUBLICAN DREAM OF A 2-CLASS SYSTEM UNDER BUSH..THE SPOILED RICH KID FROM "NORTHFORK"....LOL...
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3-03-2009 @ 5:04PM
sam said...
Having been born in 1951 & learned from those older then me what has happened to this country before, since then & what I am seeing now in this economic climate, this is all rapidly becoming clear to anyone with common sense: If we continue to reward failure, the eventual outcome will be complete financial failure, bankruptcy and chaos. Only the rich will survive and we will be looking at a country that in a short time since it's birth, will have burned itself out.
This insanity must please come to a stop before it is too late. Unfortunately, we may have reached that point yesterday.
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3-03-2009 @ 5:37PM
Glenna Gow said...
go read Daniel 12:1, that's all you need to know.
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3-04-2009 @ 12:42AM
Sailingwindward said...
Does any else see that Bernanke doesn't have a clue about what he is doing or talking about, this man is either a complete fool or he knows exactly what he's doing and thats scarier then him being stupid.
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